I’m confused about the top end of the graph. Shouldn’t SF8 with the reference compute basically match the final datapoints? But it looks like you’d have to scale it up extremely far to get to such a high elo.
Yes, that’s correct. It is slightly off because I manually set the year 2022 to match 100,000 kNodes/s. That could be adjusted by one year. To get an engine which begins its journey right in the year 2021, we could perform a similar experiment with SF14. The curve would be virtually identical, just shifted to the right and up.
I’m confused about the top end of the graph. Shouldn’t SF8 with the reference compute basically match the final datapoints? But it looks like you’d have to scale it up extremely far to get to such a high elo.
We’re on SF14 now. Stockfish didn’t even have neural net evaluation until SF12 I think.
I just checked, and SF8 is from 2016. So still slightly off, but makes more sense.
Yes, that’s correct. It is slightly off because I manually set the year 2022 to match 100,000 kNodes/s. That could be adjusted by one year. To get an engine which begins its journey right in the year 2021, we could perform a similar experiment with SF14. The curve would be virtually identical, just shifted to the right and up.