The main problem in the discussion that appeared to me is the fact that the present state of the universe is really unlikely, and you would never get it by chance.
Any hypothesis that assigns a really low probability to the present state of the universe is probably wrong.
(The universe is in a state such that to uniquely determine it, we need a very complicated theory. Therefore, we should look for less complicated theories which contain it and many other things, and count on anthropics to ensure we only see the parts of the universe we’re accustomed to.)
Any hypothesis that assigns a really low probability to the present state of the universe is probably wrong.
That’s what I said.
(The universe is in a state such that to uniquely determine it, we need a very complicated theory. Therefore, we should look for less complicated theories which contain it and many other things, and count on anthropics to ensure we only see the parts of the universe we’re accustomed to.)