You might break out the predictions which were self-selected, i.e. people chose to make a public deal of their views, as opposed to those which were elicited from less selected groups, e.g. surveys at conferences. One is more likely to think it worth talking about AI timelines in public if one thinks them short.
You might break out the predictions which were self-selected, i.e. people chose to make a public deal of their views, as opposed to those which were elicited from less selected groups, e.g. surveys at conferences. One is more likely to think it worth talking about AI timelines in public if one thinks them short.