What is the probability that is FAI is possible times the probability that FAI can be achieved before AGI?
Other paths to safe super intelligence (IA, WBE, AI-in-box, etc) may be more dangerous. What are the odds? Are the odds better or worse than the odds that the FAI research program is successful?
I would additionally like to see addressed:
What is the time estimate for FAI and AGI?
What is the probability that is FAI is possible times the probability that FAI can be achieved before AGI?
Other paths to safe super intelligence (IA, WBE, AI-in-box, etc) may be more dangerous. What are the odds? Are the odds better or worse than the odds that the FAI research program is successful?