I’d be curious to hear from EY, and the rest of the “anti-death” brigade here, what they think of de Garis’s prognosis and whether and how they think an “artilect war” can be avoided.
I haven’t read his book, etc., but I suspect that “storytelling” might be a reasonable characterization. On the other hand, my “I’d be curious” was hardly an attempt to create a burden of proof.
I do personally believe that convincing mankind that an FAI singularity is desirable will be a difficult task, and that many sane individuals might consider a unilateral and secret decision to FOOM as a casus belli. What would you do as Israeli PM if you received intelligence that an Iranian AI project would likely go FOOM sometime within the next two months?
I’m not sure that’s where the burden of proof should fall. Has de Garis justified his claim? It sounds more like storytelling than inferential forecasting to me.
I really like your comments and wish you would make some top level posts and also contact me online. Could you please do so?
Where shall I contact you?
I haven’t read his book, etc., but I suspect that “storytelling” might be a reasonable characterization. On the other hand, my “I’d be curious” was hardly an attempt to create a burden of proof.
I do personally believe that convincing mankind that an FAI singularity is desirable will be a difficult task, and that many sane individuals might consider a unilateral and secret decision to FOOM as a casus belli. What would you do as Israeli PM if you received intelligence that an Iranian AI project would likely go FOOM sometime within the next two months?