I’m offering a pool of $100+ of my personal money for the best analyses of the results, as judged by me. I’m looking for things that are meaningful insights drawn from the data, e.g. modeling the interaction between the karma score of a post and its vote outcomes.
There are a number of aggregate stats for each post included in the linked spreadsheet, but I’m also open to making available further stats or data to people upon request so long as they keep the voters anonymous.
EDIT: Be creative in what analyses you might run and don’t limit yourself to just what’s the in spreadsheet. As above, I’ll share more data if it seems appropriate. This might be data about posts, comments, and anything else to do with the site.
One thing I’d be interested to learn is whether alignment forum participants’ votes would have produced the same top 15 AI posts, but I don’t want to run that analysis myself.
One of the more noteworthy-bits here, I think, is that “Are Minimal Circuits Daemon Free?” not only moves up relative to other AF posts, but is in the top-10 overall.
I’d love to see a cluster analysis. I suspect there will be some obvious groups like “AI alignment vs. rationality”, but also could give some interesting data on things like if “rationality vs. postrationality” is a real split or “Combat vs. Nurture” etc.
In that same vein, I’d also be really interested to see the vote results if pairwise-bounded quadratic voting was used. Intuitively to me this feels like an interesting attempt to look at “debiasing” the votes away from factions, and looking more at what the non-factional consensus is.
Bounty offered for Analysis of the Results
I’m offering a pool of $100+ of my personal money for the best analyses of the results, as judged by me. I’m looking for things that are meaningful insights drawn from the data, e.g. modeling the interaction between the karma score of a post and its vote outcomes.
There are a number of aggregate stats for each post included in the linked spreadsheet, but I’m also open to making available further stats or data to people upon request so long as they keep the voters anonymous.
EDIT: Be creative in what analyses you might run and don’t limit yourself to just what’s the in spreadsheet. As above, I’ll share more data if it seems appropriate. This might be data about posts, comments, and anything else to do with the site.
One thing I’d be interested to learn is whether alignment forum participants’ votes would have produced the same top 15 AI posts, but I don’t want to run that analysis myself.
Yup, we’ll have some info about that soon.
Here are the AF-user results (including both AF and non-AF posts)
One of the more noteworthy-bits here, I think, is that “Are Minimal Circuits Daemon Free?” not only moves up relative to other AF posts, but is in the top-10 overall.
I’d love to see a cluster analysis. I suspect there will be some obvious groups like “AI alignment vs. rationality”, but also could give some interesting data on things like if “rationality vs. postrationality” is a real split or “Combat vs. Nurture” etc.
In that same vein, I’d also be really interested to see the vote results if pairwise-bounded quadratic voting was used. Intuitively to me this feels like an interesting attempt to look at “debiasing” the votes away from factions, and looking more at what the non-factional consensus is.