So, I value having coherent and internally consistent beliefs. Are there any good tools or methods for helping train or test myself on that?
Like, prediction scoring can be helpful for calibrating individual probability estimates over time, but it’d be great to have some tool that would let me put in some probability estimates, then prod me with questions to check for mutually incompatible estimates, like by asking me to also estimate enough conditional combinations to make some inferences for me to sanity check against.
I am the same as you, and unfortunately I have yet to find an efficient method for that. Still, what I’m doing is having a friend whose ideas are (or rather whose ideology is) against mines so that it forces me to ponder over my own beliefs. The fiercer the debate, the more contradictions that arise.
So, I value having coherent and internally consistent beliefs. Are there any good tools or methods for helping train or test myself on that?
Like, prediction scoring can be helpful for calibrating individual probability estimates over time, but it’d be great to have some tool that would let me put in some probability estimates, then prod me with questions to check for mutually incompatible estimates, like by asking me to also estimate enough conditional combinations to make some inferences for me to sanity check against.
I am the same as you, and unfortunately I have yet to find an efficient method for that. Still, what I’m doing is having a friend whose ideas are (or rather whose ideology is) against mines so that it forces me to ponder over my own beliefs. The fiercer the debate, the more contradictions that arise.