Personal update: Over the last few months, I’ve become much less worried that I have a tendency to be too pessimistic (because I frequently seem to be the most pessimistic person in a discussion). Things I was worried about more than others (coronavirus pandemic, epistemic conditions getting significantly worse) have come true, and when I was wrong in a pessimistic direction, I updated quickly after coming across a good argument (so I think I was wrong just because I didn’t think of that argument, rather than due to a tendency to be pessimistic).
Feedback welcome, in case I’ve updated too much about this.
Personal update: Over the last few months, I’ve become much less worried that I have a tendency to be too pessimistic (because I frequently seem to be the most pessimistic person in a discussion). Things I was worried about more than others (coronavirus pandemic, epistemic conditions getting significantly worse) have come true, and when I was wrong in a pessimistic direction, I updated quickly after coming across a good argument (so I think I was wrong just because I didn’t think of that argument, rather than due to a tendency to be pessimistic).
Feedback welcome, in case I’ve updated too much about this.