A trained physicist’s intuition is rather different from “human intuition” on physics problems, so that’s unlikely.
So if you were to poll physicists about, say, string theory vs. quantum loop gravity, or about the interpretations of quantum mechanics, do you think there would be no order or framing effects? That would be quite surprising to me.
Maybe they just thought about it in vaguely Carrollian way, like ‘if 200 of 600 people die, then we cannot say anything about the state of the other 400, because no information is given on them’?
So if you were to poll physicists about, say, string theory vs. quantum loop gravity, or about the interpretations of quantum mechanics, do you think there would be no order or framing effects? That would be quite surprising to me.
I didn’t realize that identifying “200 out 600 people die” with “400 of 600 people survive” requires quantum gravity-level expertize.
Maybe they just thought about it in vaguely Carrollian way, like ‘if 200 of 600 people die, then we cannot say anything about the state of the other 400, because no information is given on them’?