Tangent to https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xF7gBJYsy6qenmmCS/don-t-die-with-dignity-instead-play-to-your-outs?commentId=P9EiLDCgxRwJNi6bs: I do not believe “epistemic status” and “confidence level” are ‘really’ interchangeable—almost at all, really, whereas log-odds and probability are interconvertible.
Epistemic status : provenance :: confidence level : canonicity, ish. Related, but importantly distinct, parts of the process of determining in what ways to trust some information.
Tangent to https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xF7gBJYsy6qenmmCS/don-t-die-with-dignity-instead-play-to-your-outs?commentId=P9EiLDCgxRwJNi6bs: I do not believe “epistemic status” and “confidence level” are ‘really’ interchangeable—almost at all, really, whereas log-odds and probability are interconvertible.
Epistemic status : provenance :: confidence level : canonicity, ish. Related, but importantly distinct, parts of the process of determining in what ways to trust some information.