Sharp, unanticipated jumps in intelligence are proven possible, known to occur frequently, and have a long history of taking place”
Derived from:
“I cannot perform a precise calculation using a precisely confirmed theory, but my current opinion is that sharp jumps in intelligence arepossible, likely, and constitute the dominant probability.”
Sharp, unanticipated jumps in intelligence are proven possible, known to occur frequently, and have a long history of taking place”
Derived from:
“I cannot perform a precise calculation using a precisely confirmed theory, but my current opinion is that sharp jumps in intelligence arepossible, likely, and constitute the dominant probability.”
EY, AI as a pos neg factor, 2006ish