Many AI experts think there’s a high chance of superhuman AI being invented within this century. Attempts to forecast this development, tend to be a century out at latest. These estimates are uncertain, but that does not mean superhuman AI is necessarily a long way away. It could just mean that we’re poorly-prepared to handle the emergence of a new kind of intelligent being on earth. (Machine learning researchers). (Very loosely adapted from Devin Kalish’s summarization of Holden Karnofsky’s “most important century” series.)
Many AI experts think there’s a high chance of superhuman AI being invented within this century. Attempts to forecast this development, tend to be a century out at latest. These estimates are uncertain, but that does not mean superhuman AI is necessarily a long way away. It could just mean that we’re poorly-prepared to handle the emergence of a new kind of intelligent being on earth. (Machine learning researchers). (Very loosely adapted from Devin Kalish’s summarization of Holden Karnofsky’s “most important century” series.)