“Wishful thinking adds detail, constrains prediction, and thereby creates a burden of improbability. What of the civil engineer who hopes a bridge won’t fall?”
Optional extra:
“Should the engineer argue that bridges in general are not likely to fall? But Nature itself does not rationalize reasons why bridges should not fall. Rather, the civil engineer overcomes the burden of improbability through specific choice guided by specific understanding”
-Eliezer Yudkowsky, AI as a pos neg factor, around 2006
“Wishful thinking adds detail, constrains prediction, and thereby creates a burden of improbability. What of the civil engineer who hopes a bridge won’t fall?”
Optional extra:
“Should the engineer argue that bridges in general are not likely to fall? But Nature itself does not rationalize reasons why bridges should not fall. Rather, the civil engineer overcomes the burden of improbability through specific choice guided by specific understanding”
-Eliezer Yudkowsky, AI as a pos neg factor, around 2006