The felt sense (which I had) that Trump was a ‘crazy, impossible’ candidate and so wouldn’t really win, was off.
Factual data is useful, and even biased data (e.g. polls, government-published statistics, scientific papers) are useful, and the fact that polls & Nate Silver were not hugely wrong is evidence that we don’t have to throw them out entirely.
Point. The polls were not hugely off.
The felt sense (which I had) that Trump was a ‘crazy, impossible’ candidate and so wouldn’t really win, was off.
Factual data is useful, and even biased data (e.g. polls, government-published statistics, scientific papers) are useful, and the fact that polls & Nate Silver were not hugely wrong is evidence that we don’t have to throw them out entirely.
What’s scarily non-useful is opinion.