1. How likely do you think it is that the overall value of the future will be drastically less than it could have been, as a result of humanity not doing enough technical AI safety research?
The clarification note was helpful, because this is an odd question to me. There’s lots of things that could prevent x-risk from AI, including e.g. better world governance. It’s not as a result of not doing technical research, even if technical research is a great way to prevent it.
I agree. For me, the clarification note completely changed my interpretation of the question (and the answer I would give to my understanding of the question). I decided to record my answer as 50% for this reason.
The clarification note was helpful, because this is an odd question to me. There’s lots of things that could prevent x-risk from AI, including e.g. better world governance. It’s not as a result of not doing technical research, even if technical research is a great way to prevent it.
I agree. For me, the clarification note completely changed my interpretation of the question (and the answer I would give to my understanding of the question). I decided to record my answer as 50% for this reason.