Out of the huge idea space of possible causally linked events, some of them make good stories and some do not. That doesn’t tell you rather it’s true or not.
If a guy thinks that he can hear Hillary Clinton speaking from the feelings in his teeth, telling him to murder his cellmate, do you believe what he says? Status gets mucked up in the calculation, but with strangers it teeters precariously close to zero.
I really like kids,but the fact that millions of them passionately believe in Santa Claus does not change my degree of subjective belief one iota.
Well obviously propositions with extremely high complexity (and therefore very low priors) are going to remain low even when people believe them. But if someone says they believe they have 10 dollars on them or that the US Constitution was signed in September… the belief is enough to make those claims more likely than not.
Out of the huge idea space of possible causally linked events, some of them make good stories and some do not. That doesn’t tell you rather it’s true or not.
But people only believe things that make sense to them. When it comes to controversial issues, then ya, you’ll find that most people will be divided on it. However, we elect people to lead us in the faith that the majority opinion is right. So even that isn’t entirly true. And out of the vast majority of possible ideas, most people that live in the same society will agree or disagree the same way on the majority of them, esspecially if they have the same background knowledge.
Out of the huge idea space of possible causally linked events, some of them make good stories and some do not. That doesn’t tell you rather it’s true or not.
If a guy thinks that he can hear Hillary Clinton speaking from the feelings in his teeth, telling him to murder his cellmate, do you believe what he says? Status gets mucked up in the calculation, but with strangers it teeters precariously close to zero.
I really like kids,but the fact that millions of them passionately believe in Santa Claus does not change my degree of subjective belief one iota.
Well obviously propositions with extremely high complexity (and therefore very low priors) are going to remain low even when people believe them. But if someone says they believe they have 10 dollars on them or that the US Constitution was signed in September… the belief is enough to make those claims more likely than not.
But people only believe things that make sense to them. When it comes to controversial issues, then ya, you’ll find that most people will be divided on it. However, we elect people to lead us in the faith that the majority opinion is right. So even that isn’t entirly true. And out of the vast majority of possible ideas, most people that live in the same society will agree or disagree the same way on the majority of them, esspecially if they have the same background knowledge.