It should be possible to believe both—unless you’re expecting peak oil to lead to social collapse fairly soon, Moore’s law could make a singluarity possible while energy becomes more expensive.
Which could suggest a distressing pinch point: not wanting to delay AI too long in case we run out of energy for it to use; not wanting to make an AI too soon in case it’s Unfriendly.
It should be possible to believe both—unless you’re expecting peak oil to lead to social collapse fairly soon, Moore’s law could make a singluarity possible while energy becomes more expensive.
Which could suggest a distressing pinch point: not wanting to delay AI too long in case we run out of energy for it to use; not wanting to make an AI too soon in case it’s Unfriendly.