I’d like to ask everyone what probability bump they give to an idea given that some people believe it.
Usually fairly substantial—if someone presents me with two equally-unsupported claims X and Y and tells me that they believe X and not Y, I would give greater credence to X than to Y. Many times, however, that credence would not reach the level of … well, credence, for various good reasons.
Usually fairly substantial—if someone presents me with two equally-unsupported claims X and Y and tells me that they believe X and not Y, I would give greater credence to X than to Y. Many times, however, that credence would not reach the level of … well, credence, for various good reasons.