Please stop appealing to compute overhang. In a world where AI progress has wildly accelerated chip manufacture, this already-tenuous argument has become ~indefensible.
Folks using compute overhang to 4D chess their way into supporting actions that differentially benefit capabilities.
I’m often tempted to comment this in various threads, but it feels like a rabbit hole, it’s not an easy one to convince someone of (because it’s an argument they’ve accepted for years), and I’ve had relatively little success talking about this with people in person (there’s some change I should make in how I’m talking about it, I think).
More broadly, I’ve started using quick takes to catalog random thoughts, because sometimes when I’m meeting someone for the first time, they have heard of me, and are mistaken about my beliefs, but would like to argue against their straw version. Having a public record I can point to of things I’ve thought feels useful for combatting this.
Please stop appealing to compute overhang. In a world where AI progress has wildly accelerated chip manufacture, this already-tenuous argument has become ~indefensible.
To whom are are you talking?
Folks using compute overhang to 4D chess their way into supporting actions that differentially benefit capabilities.
I’m often tempted to comment this in various threads, but it feels like a rabbit hole, it’s not an easy one to convince someone of (because it’s an argument they’ve accepted for years), and I’ve had relatively little success talking about this with people in person (there’s some change I should make in how I’m talking about it, I think).
More broadly, I’ve started using quick takes to catalog random thoughts, because sometimes when I’m meeting someone for the first time, they have heard of me, and are mistaken about my beliefs, but would like to argue against their straw version. Having a public record I can point to of things I’ve thought feels useful for combatting this.
This world?
Yes this world.