Hmm, so E(the Math SAT score that X deserves|the Math SAT score that X got is 800, and X is male) is just 4 points more than E(the Math SAT score that X deserves|the Math SAT score that X got is 800, and X is female). That doesn’t sound like terribly much to me, and I’d guess there are plenty of people who, due to corrupted mindware and stuff, would treat a male who got 800 better than a female who got 800 by a much greater extent than justified by that 4-point difference in the Bayesian posterior expected values. (Cf the person who told whowhowho that Obama must be dumber than Bush—surely we know much more about them than their races?)
I’m not sure if this is correct, but I sometimes wonder given how they’re surrounded by spin-doctors and other image manipulators how much we really know about prominent politicians, especially when the politician in question is new so you can’t look at his record.
Read the comment I linked to and possibly subsequent discussion if you’re interested in these things.
Hmm, so E(the Math SAT score that X deserves|the Math SAT score that X got is 800, and X is male) is just 4 points more than E(the Math SAT score that X deserves|the Math SAT score that X got is 800, and X is female). That doesn’t sound like terribly much to me, and I’d guess there are plenty of people who, due to corrupted mindware and stuff, would treat a male who got 800 better than a female who got 800 by a much greater extent than justified by that 4-point difference in the Bayesian posterior expected values. (Cf the person who told whowhowho that Obama must be dumber than Bush—surely we know much more about them than their races?)
I’m not sure if this is correct, but I sometimes wonder given how they’re surrounded by spin-doctors and other image manipulators how much we really know about prominent politicians, especially when the politician in question is new so you can’t look at his record.