I think 30X for initial viral load might be too high, because it’s comparing symptomatic cases of smallpox to all cases of smallpox. The fair thing is to compare variolation against everyone who was exposed to smallpox, whether they developed symptoms or not.
Internet seems divided on whether or not subclinical smallpox even exists, so this probably isn’t a very large factor. I write it out mostly so if someone else has the same idea they don’t have to duplicate work.
I think 30X for initial viral load might be too high, because it’s comparing symptomatic cases of smallpox to all cases of smallpox. The fair thing is to compare variolation against everyone who was exposed to smallpox, whether they developed symptoms or not.
Internet seems divided on whether or not subclinical smallpox even exists, so this probably isn’t a very large factor. I write it out mostly so if someone else has the same idea they don’t have to duplicate work.