Agree with John Baez, Jeremy Salwen and others. Standard tools are enough to solve this problem. You don’t need probabilities over probabilities, just probabilities over states of the world, and probabilities over what might happen in each state of the world.
Agree with John Baez, Jeremy Salwen and others. Standard tools are enough to solve this problem. You don’t need probabilities over probabilities, just probabilities over states of the world, and probabilities over what might happen in each state of the world.