The arguments for a possible collapse [I am on the fence] are roughly
1. Many civilizations in the past collapsed when deprived of their source of energy. A smooth transition to a lower level of energy use is not the norm though it has happened e.g. Byzantium.
2. Complex systems tend to be operating close to optimum, which makes for fragility. Turn the electricity off in NYC for two weeks and see what happens for example. More on this in books like “The Collapse of Complex Societies” by Joseph A. Tainter.
3. Our civilization is global thus the collapse would likely be global.
The arguments for a possible collapse [I am on the fence] are roughly
1. Many civilizations in the past collapsed when deprived of their source of energy. A smooth transition to a lower level of energy use is not the norm though it has happened e.g. Byzantium.
2. Complex systems tend to be operating close to optimum, which makes for fragility. Turn the electricity off in NYC for two weeks and see what happens for example. More on this in books like “The Collapse of Complex Societies” by Joseph A. Tainter.
3. Our civilization is global thus the collapse would likely be global.