Is there a major named bias that reflects the thought (I was about to say “fact” but seems a very wrong word to use given the nature of this comment) that one’s own beliefs and knowledge set is actually the hypothesis that is being tested in real time? Our believes and knowledge are not just the check against the other views and external view.
Seems that is a very Bayesian view but also something of the characteristic of most other biases: our belief in our self, in our experts, in our peer group and class, etc. Seems like if we make a core rule of asking “What do I need to update here?” a lot of the other bias problems diminish.
Would “The bias of no self-skepticism” be a good term? (Or is that already in the list I have not looked at yet!)
I would have laughed if you could find that phrase on Google.
What I was getting at was the number of named biases. I suspect many are similar and possible stem from some common underlying cause. I wonder just how many can be explained by people not simply viewing their one beliefs and assumption about their “knowledge” and set of facts without sufficient skepticism.
If we can explain a number of these named biases with a common root then we’re closer to having the gear that is driving the bad thinking than if we just labelled several items in some common set as if they are really different.
I might be a bit off base on this but . . .
Is there a major named bias that reflects the thought (I was about to say “fact” but seems a very wrong word to use given the nature of this comment) that one’s own beliefs and knowledge set is actually the hypothesis that is being tested in real time? Our believes and knowledge are not just the check against the other views and external view.
Seems that is a very Bayesian view but also something of the characteristic of most other biases: our belief in our self, in our experts, in our peer group and class, etc. Seems like if we make a core rule of asking “What do I need to update here?” a lot of the other bias problems diminish.
Would “The bias of no self-skepticism” be a good term? (Or is that already in the list I have not looked at yet!)
Do you mean confirmation bias, or implicit bias? I cannot find ‘bias of no self-skepticism’ on Google.
I would have laughed if you could find that phrase on Google.
What I was getting at was the number of named biases. I suspect many are similar and possible stem from some common underlying cause. I wonder just how many can be explained by people not simply viewing their one beliefs and assumption about their “knowledge” and set of facts without sufficient skepticism.
If we can explain a number of these named biases with a common root then we’re closer to having the gear that is driving the bad thinking than if we just labelled several items in some common set as if they are really different.
This bias infographic shows you biases grouped by common root: https://www.visualcapitalist.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/all-188-cognitive-biases.html
Thanks!