Tell him that you’re a time traveler from the future, and prove it with detailed prophecies of the next few years, including the fact that Caesar’s heirs are about to die, leaving him sole heir to the throne.
While this plan would work in the scenario as specified by Yvain, we should probably disallow these kinds of solutions. We are trying to simulate a situation where a transhuman AI emerges in our own world; and, unlike Yvain’s time traveler, such an AI would not have any foreknowledge of the future… Unless, of course, it becomes an oracle of some sort.
Wouldn’t the AI practically need to be an Oracle in order to predict all the upcoming historical events down to the specific date ? It would need more than intelligence, it would need nigh omniscience as well, IMO.
Even with current knowledge, we’re not really omniscient about what happened in the past. I know the Romans were good record-keepers (I’m not sure how good), but I would be surprised if there weren’t at least some errors and omissions in the small details.
If we did have omniscient knowledge, I would suggest that the situation might be most analogous after several years—when you could still make predictions with high accuracy, but never really being sure that something you’ve done has slightly changed the dates or other details of specific events.
While this plan would work in the scenario as specified by Yvain, we should probably disallow these kinds of solutions. We are trying to simulate a situation where a transhuman AI emerges in our own world; and, unlike Yvain’s time traveler, such an AI would not have any foreknowledge of the future… Unless, of course, it becomes an oracle of some sort.
Perhaps the foreknowledge could be considered as analogous to the extra intelligence an AI would have.
Wouldn’t the AI practically need to be an Oracle in order to predict all the upcoming historical events down to the specific date ? It would need more than intelligence, it would need nigh omniscience as well, IMO.
Even with current knowledge, we’re not really omniscient about what happened in the past. I know the Romans were good record-keepers (I’m not sure how good), but I would be surprised if there weren’t at least some errors and omissions in the small details.
If we did have omniscient knowledge, I would suggest that the situation might be most analogous after several years—when you could still make predictions with high accuracy, but never really being sure that something you’ve done has slightly changed the dates or other details of specific events.