Is the CFR going down because the virus is less deadly in general, or because the virus is infecting younger people? I haven’t been able to find a decent study on this.
Annex table 7: median age of people newly tested and newly testing positive for COVID-19 under pillars 1 and 2, England
Week
People tested
People testing positive
28/05/20 to 03/06/20
48
52
04/06/20 to 10/06/20
45
48
11/06/20 to 17/06/20
44
44
18/06/20 to 24/06/20
43
43
25/06/20 to 01/07/20
42
41
02/07/20 to 08/07/20
42
40
09/07/20 to 15/07/20
41
38
16/07/20 to 22/07/20
40
37
23/07/20 to 29/07/20
39
37
30/07/20 to 05/08/20
39
37
06/08/20 to 12/08/20
39
35
13/08/20 to 19/08/20
39
33
20/08/20 to 26/08/20
38
31
I think death rates are still down despite younger demographics, but how much? Is it still a 10%+ risk for a 60+ person with 1 comorbidity? What about if ICU’s are overflowing and people end up in temporary care units? Romania, where I’m from, has a very poor healthcare system and seems to be heading into an ICU overflow situation sadly, but not sure how concerned I should be for my parents and other older relatives(they’re all taking it quite seriously of course).
Is the CFR going down because the virus is less deadly in general, or because the virus is infecting younger people? I haven’t been able to find a decent study on this.
In the UK(https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/demographic-data-for-coronavirus-testing-england-28-may-to-26-august/demographic-data-for-coronavirus-covid-19-testing-england-28-may-to-26-august#age-and-gender) the median age of people testing positive has gone down from 52 to 31:
Annex table 7: median age of people newly tested and newly testing positive for COVID-19 under pillars 1 and 2, England
I think death rates are still down despite younger demographics, but how much? Is it still a 10%+ risk for a 60+ person with 1 comorbidity? What about if ICU’s are overflowing and people end up in temporary care units? Romania, where I’m from, has a very poor healthcare system and seems to be heading into an ICU overflow situation sadly, but not sure how concerned I should be for my parents and other older relatives(they’re all taking it quite seriously of course).