So imagine that, as a third-person observer, you know enough to see that the scenario is not highly contrived — that it is in fact a logical consequence of some relatively simple assumptions about the nature of reality. Suppose that, for you, the whole scenario is in fact highly probable.
A large part of what was highly contrived was your selection of a particular true, honest, well-researched sentence in a book otherwise filled with lies, precisely because it is so unusual. In order to make it not contrived, we must suppose something like, the book has no lies, the book is all truth. Or we might even need to suppose that every sentence in every book is the truth. In such a world, then the contrivedness of the selection of a true sentence is minimized.
So let us imagine ourselves into a world in which every sentence in every book is true. And now we imagine someone who selects a book and believes everything in it. In this world, this strategy, generalized (to pick a random book and believe everything in it) becomes a reliable way to generate true belief. In such a world, I think it would be arguable to call such a strategy a genuine knowledge-creation strategy. In any case, it would depart so radically from your scenario (since in your scenario everything in the book other than that one fact is a lie) that it’s not at all clear how it would relate to your scenario.
I’m not sure that I’m seeing your point. Are you saying that
One shouldn’t waste time on trying to concoct exceptionless definitions — “exceptionless” in the sense that they fit our intuitions in every single conceivable scenario. In particular, we shouldn’t worry about “contrived” scenarios. If a definition works in the non-contrived cases, that’s good enough.
… or are you saying that
Nozick’s definition really is exceptionless. In every conceivable scenario, and for every single proposition P, every instance of someone “knowing” that P would conform to every one of Nozick’s criteria (and conversely).
Nozick apparently intended his definition to apply to single beliefs. I applied it to belief-creating strategies (or procedures, methods, mechanisms) rather than to individual beliefs. These strategies are to be evaluated in terms of their overall results if applied widely. Then I noticed that your two Gettier scenarios involved strategies which, respectively, violated and conformed to the definition as I applied it.
I thought it sounded contrived at first, but then remembered there are tons of people who pick a book and believe everything they read in it, reaching many false conclusions and a few true ones.
A large part of what was highly contrived was your selection of a particular true, honest, well-researched sentence in a book otherwise filled with lies, precisely because it is so unusual. In order to make it not contrived, we must suppose something like, the book has no lies, the book is all truth. Or we might even need to suppose that every sentence in every book is the truth. In such a world, then the contrivedness of the selection of a true sentence is minimized.
So let us imagine ourselves into a world in which every sentence in every book is true. And now we imagine someone who selects a book and believes everything in it. In this world, this strategy, generalized (to pick a random book and believe everything in it) becomes a reliable way to generate true belief. In such a world, I think it would be arguable to call such a strategy a genuine knowledge-creation strategy. In any case, it would depart so radically from your scenario (since in your scenario everything in the book other than that one fact is a lie) that it’s not at all clear how it would relate to your scenario.
I’m not sure that I’m seeing your point. Are you saying that
One shouldn’t waste time on trying to concoct exceptionless definitions — “exceptionless” in the sense that they fit our intuitions in every single conceivable scenario. In particular, we shouldn’t worry about “contrived” scenarios. If a definition works in the non-contrived cases, that’s good enough.
… or are you saying that
Nozick’s definition really is exceptionless. In every conceivable scenario, and for every single proposition P, every instance of someone “knowing” that P would conform to every one of Nozick’s criteria (and conversely).
… or are you saying something else?
Nozick apparently intended his definition to apply to single beliefs. I applied it to belief-creating strategies (or procedures, methods, mechanisms) rather than to individual beliefs. These strategies are to be evaluated in terms of their overall results if applied widely. Then I noticed that your two Gettier scenarios involved strategies which, respectively, violated and conformed to the definition as I applied it.
That’s all. I am not drawing conclusions (yet).
I’m reminded of the Golden Rule. Since I would like if everyone would execute “if (I am Jiro) then rob”, I should execute that as well.
It’s actually pretty hard to define what it means for a strategy to be exceptionless, and it may be subject to a grue/bleen paradox.
I thought it sounded contrived at first, but then remembered there are tons of people who pick a book and believe everything they read in it, reaching many false conclusions and a few true ones.