In the first scenario, I doubt you would be able to predict Omega with sufficient accuracy to be able to do what you’re suggesting. Transparent boxes, though, are interesting. The problem is, the original Newcomb’s Problem had a single situation with two possible choices involved; tranparent Newcomb, however, involves two situations:
Transparent Box B contains $1000000.
Transparent Box B contains nothing.
It’s unclear from this what Omega is even trying to predict; is he predicting your response to the first situation? The second one? Both? Is he following the rule: “If the player two-boxes in either situation, fill Box B with nothing”? Is he following the rule: “If the player one-boxes in either situation, fill Box B with $1000000″? The problem isn’t well-specified; you’ll have to give a better description of the situation before a response can be given.
In the first scenario, I doubt you would be able to predict Omega with sufficient accuracy to be able to do what you’re suggesting.
That falls under 1) there are some strategies I am incapable of executing.
tranparent Newcomb, however, involves two situations:
Transparent Box B contains $1000000.
Transparent Box B contains nothing.
The transparent scenario is just a restatement of the opaque scenario with transparent boxes instead of “I predict what Omega does”. If you think the transparent scenario involves two situations, then the opaque scenario involves two situations as well. (1=opaque box B contains $1000000, and I predict that Omega put in $1000000 and 2=opaque box B contains nothing, and I predict that Omega puts in nothing.) If you object that we have no reason to think both of those opaque situations are possible, I can make a similar objection to the transparent situations.
In the first scenario, I doubt you would be able to predict Omega with sufficient accuracy to be able to do what you’re suggesting. Transparent boxes, though, are interesting. The problem is, the original Newcomb’s Problem had a single situation with two possible choices involved; tranparent Newcomb, however, involves two situations:
Transparent Box B contains $1000000.
Transparent Box B contains nothing.
It’s unclear from this what Omega is even trying to predict; is he predicting your response to the first situation? The second one? Both? Is he following the rule: “If the player two-boxes in either situation, fill Box B with nothing”? Is he following the rule: “If the player one-boxes in either situation, fill Box B with $1000000″? The problem isn’t well-specified; you’ll have to give a better description of the situation before a response can be given.
That falls under 1) there are some strategies I am incapable of executing.
The transparent scenario is just a restatement of the opaque scenario with transparent boxes instead of “I predict what Omega does”. If you think the transparent scenario involves two situations, then the opaque scenario involves two situations as well. (1=opaque box B contains $1000000, and I predict that Omega put in $1000000 and 2=opaque box B contains nothing, and I predict that Omega puts in nothing.) If you object that we have no reason to think both of those opaque situations are possible, I can make a similar objection to the transparent situations.