Suppose all futures end in FAI or UFAI. Suppose there were a magic button that rules out the UFAI futures if FAI was likely enough, and the FAI futures otherwise. The cutoff happens to be chosen to conserve your subjective probability of FAI. I see the button as transforming our game for the world’s fate from one of luck into one of skill. Would you press it?
Suppose all futures end in FAI or UFAI. Suppose there were a magic button that rules out the UFAI futures if FAI was likely enough, and the FAI futures otherwise. The cutoff happens to be chosen to conserve your subjective probability of FAI. I see the button as transforming our game for the world’s fate from one of luck into one of skill. Would you press it?