Good post, upvoted for giving practical advice backed by deep theories.
It did raise a few questions, but on reflection most are more meta-issues about LW that show up in this sequence than about the post itself. So, I think I’ll kick them over to their own discussion post.
That said I am curious if you know of any large scale studies about the results of people undergoing training in using decision theory.
-edit discusion post is here
That said I am curious if you know of any large scale studies about the results of people undergoing training in using decision theory.
What sort of metric would you want the study to measure? I know Chevron has been working on integrating this style of DA into their corporate culture for 20 years, and they seem to think it works. I’m less certain of how valuable it is, or what kinds of value it improves, for a person on the street, but am generally optimistic about these sorts of clear-thinking procedures.
For business or divisions within the same business the measures that are already used to measure success, especially those that are close to their terminal goals would likely be sufficient.
It would be pretty hard to come up with a good measure for individuals. I would say their level of improvement on goals they set for themselves, but understand how that would be hard to use as the basis for a study. Perhaps happiness or money as those are both very common major goals.
Good post, upvoted for giving practical advice backed by deep theories. It did raise a few questions, but on reflection most are more meta-issues about LW that show up in this sequence than about the post itself. So, I think I’ll kick them over to their own discussion post. That said I am curious if you know of any large scale studies about the results of people undergoing training in using decision theory. -edit discusion post is here
What sort of metric would you want the study to measure? I know Chevron has been working on integrating this style of DA into their corporate culture for 20 years, and they seem to think it works. I’m less certain of how valuable it is, or what kinds of value it improves, for a person on the street, but am generally optimistic about these sorts of clear-thinking procedures.
For business or divisions within the same business the measures that are already used to measure success, especially those that are close to their terminal goals would likely be sufficient. It would be pretty hard to come up with a good measure for individuals. I would say their level of improvement on goals they set for themselves, but understand how that would be hard to use as the basis for a study. Perhaps happiness or money as those are both very common major goals.