I was definitely very confused when writing the part you quoted. I think the underlying thought was that the processes of writing humans and of writing AlphaZero are very non-random; i.e., even if there’s a random number generated in some sense somewhere as part of the process, there’s other things going on that are highly constraining the search space—and those processes are making use of “instrumental convergence” (stored resources, intelligence, putting the hard drives in safe locations.) Then I can understand your claim as “instrumental convergence may occur in guiding the search for/construction of an agent, but there’s no reason to believe that agent will then do instrumentally convergent things.” I think that’s not true in general, but it would take more words to defend.
I was definitely very confused when writing the part you quoted. I think the underlying thought was that the processes of writing humans and of writing AlphaZero are very non-random; i.e., even if there’s a random number generated in some sense somewhere as part of the process, there’s other things going on that are highly constraining the search space—and those processes are making use of “instrumental convergence” (stored resources, intelligence, putting the hard drives in safe locations.) Then I can understand your claim as “instrumental convergence may occur in guiding the search for/construction of an agent, but there’s no reason to believe that agent will then do instrumentally convergent things.” I think that’s not true in general, but it would take more words to defend.