Osama bin Laden talks about “defeating the Great Satan for the glory of Allah and Mohammed (pbuh)” for the same reason George Walker Bush talked about “spreading Freedom and Democracy”: because it resonates with his intended audience, convinces them that he has similar thought-processes to them and is representative of their interests, or at the very least their team, not because he actually believed that that was what he was doing.
There is a problem with arguments of the form, “The leader of that group clearly doesn’t ‘really’ believe his own rhetoric he’s just saying that because it resonates with his followers.” This implies that their followers actually believe that stuff, otherwise there would be no point in the leaders’ saying it. But you’ve just admitted that there exist people who really believe that stuff, why is it so absurd for the leader to be one of those people?
I certainly agree that I should not model their minds as being identical to mine, but given that I don’t want to kill people, I’m already doing that at least to some degree.
You’re still self-anchoring. You observe that they want to kill people, so you try to imagine under what conditions you would be willing to kill people.
That said, I think that you are being overly simplistic in your model of these people.
Well, near as I can tell, your model boils down to “they secretly have to same world-view as I do, and the difference in their rhetoric is because it resonates with their audience”.
For the record I should probably mention my model:
They observe that the Islamic world isn’t as powerful as it was in its glory days. Furthermore, the West and the United States in particular is influencing their culture in ways they don’t like. Solving this problem requires a model of how the world works. Well, the model they turn to is one based on Islam.
There is certainly more that could be added to this model, e.g., a discussion of how feuds work in clan-based societies for starters.
Osama bin Laden talks about “defeating the Great Satan for the glory of Allah and Mohammed (pbuh)” for the same reason George Walker Bush talked about “spreading Freedom and Democracy”: because it resonates with his intended audience, convinces them that he has similar thought-processes to them and is representative of their interests, or at the very least their team, not because he actually believed that that was what he was doing.
There is a problem with arguments of the form, “The leader of that group clearly doesn’t ‘really’ believe his own rhetoric he’s just saying that because it resonates with his followers.” This implies that their followers actually believe that stuff, otherwise there would be no point in the leaders’ saying it. But you’ve just admitted that there exist people who really believe that stuff, why is it so absurd for the leader to be one of those people?
The only part I would leave out of bgaesop’s paragraph is the “not because he actually believed that that was what he was doing”. All of the previous stuff fits fine when both the leader and the intended audience are sincere homo-hypocrites. That is why he is doing it (or equivalently the fact that they do it so well is what made them the leaders). What they believe about the matter can be orthogonal.
The warning does not appear relevant. The observation I made is that the description can apply regardless of the specific beliefs of the humans in question. It speaks to the general outcome of the political incentives.
There is a problem with arguments of the form, “The leader of that group clearly doesn’t ‘really’ believe his own rhetoric he’s just saying that because it resonates with his followers.” This implies that their followers actually believe that stuff, otherwise there would be no point in the leaders’ saying it. But you’ve just admitted that there exist people who really believe that stuff, why is it so absurd for the leader to be one of those people?
My mistake, wedrifid is correct, I turned my thought into a sentence poorly.
You’re still self-anchoring. You observe that they want to kill people, so you try to imagine under what conditions you would be willing to kill people.
I admit to not having considered this bias on this subject. That said, I don’t think that this bias is affecting me very significantly here, and I think that because of the direction I approached my current position from: I arrived at it after moving from somewhere near where you are currently. I will consider the possibility that my position is affected by this bias, however. The manner in which I am doing so right now is to reread the wikipedia page that I just linked and follow several of the citations. It seems that the consensus is that perceived western aggression against Muslims and Islam is one of the prime motivators—which would then include what I said, and also perceived aggression against Islam specifically. So a mixture of what we’ve both been saying.
Well, near as I can tell, your model boils down to “they secretly have to same world-view as I do, and the difference in their rhetoric is because it resonates with their audience”.
I don’t think that they are attempting to inspire a proletarian revolt across nations. I don’t think that they are attempting to engage in a class struggle pitting the poor against the rich. I do think that they perceive themselves and their fellow Muslims as being the victims of exploitation by Westerners, and I think that they perceive a number of dimensions to that exploitation: military, economic, and cultural; perhaps more. Military is fairly obvious. Economic is what I was talking about, I mentioned it specifically because we were discussing the attacks on the World Trade Center. Cultural is what you are talking about. I believe that while it is an important portion of their motivation, it is not the primary piece. Unfortunately their rhetoric focuses on that issue largely (though by no means entirely) which gives an inflated view of its importance.
They observe that the Islamic world isn’t as powerful as it was in its glory days. Furthermore, the West and the United States in particular is influencing their culture in ways they don’t like. Solving this problem requires a model of how the world works. Well, the model they turn to is one based on Islam.
It might be that we are saying similar things with rather different vocabularies. When you say that the Islamic world isn’t as powerful as it was in its glory days, does that include what I talk about when I say they’re being economically exploited? For instance, instead of a wealthy semi-equitable (or perhaps merely remembered as such) Caliphate, they are frequently poor or highly segmented populations dependent on natural resource exportation? Where does reaction to the West’s military operations fit into your model? That certainly seems to be one of the motivating forces most commonly cited by terrorists themselves.
Out of curiosity, have you been downvoting me? I’ve been upvoting you. I ask because I notice that every time I post in this thread my karma goes down, and though I do realize it’s a silly thing to care about, for some reason I do. Something about human brains enjoying watching numbers go up, I suppose. It’s particularly frustrating because I am enjoying the discussion, but seeing that number going down makes me feel like my participation is unwanted (which I am assuming is not the case, but who knows, maybe it is).
The manner in which I am doing so right now is to reread the wikipedia page that I just linked and follow several of the citations.
The wikipedia page doesn’t mention anything about “economic oppression”.
It seems that the consensus is that perceived western aggression against Muslims and Islam is one of the prime motivators—which would then include what I said, and also perceived aggression against Islam specifically. So a mixture of what we’ve both been saying.
A large part of this “western aggressions” is a reaction to said attacks.
I don’t think that they are attempting to inspire a proletarian revolt across nations. I don’t think that they are attempting to engage in a class struggle pitting the poor against the rich. I do think that they perceive themselves and their fellow Muslims as being the victims of exploitation by Westerners, and I think that they perceive a number of dimensions to that exploitation: military, economic, and cultural; perhaps more.
Most people who aren’t Marxists don’t think of everything in terms of exploitation. (Note that I was able to correctly identify you as a Marxist simply from your use of the term “economic oppression”).
Military is fairly obvious. Economic is what I was talking about, I mentioned it specifically because we were discussing the attacks on the World Trade Center. Cultural is what you are talking about. I believe that while it is an important portion of their motivation, it is not the primary piece. Unfortunately their rhetoric focuses on that issue largely (though by no means entirely) which gives an inflated view of its importance.
In that case could you explain what you mean by an issue being “important” to them as it seems to have nothing to do with what they themselves think about the issue.
It might be that we are saying similar things with rather different vocabularies. When you say that the Islamic world isn’t as powerful as it was in its glory days, does that include what I talk about when I say they’re being economically exploited? For instance, instead of a wealthy semi-equitable (or perhaps merely remembered as such) Caliphate, they are frequently poor or highly segmented populations dependent on natural resource exportation?
Given that the gulf states are among the wealthiest per-capita, it’s not us who are exploiting their people. In any case they’re thinking in terms of military and cultural/religious power. To the extend they think about economics at all, its probably because they don’t like how materialist our culture is.
BTW, I don’t think it’s particularly meaningful to apply the term “exploitation” to voluntary, i.e., capitalist, as opposed to forced, i.e., feudal or socialist, economic relations, but that’s another debate.
My other point is that Islam isn’t mere window dressing, but seriously affects the way they think, and hence what they do.
I just remembered the obvious point that I had been forgettig this whole time. Your position seems to me to be basically the position the article we’re both commenting on is directly arguing is a silly, untenable one to take.
There is a problem with arguments of the form, “The leader of that group clearly doesn’t ‘really’ believe his own rhetoric he’s just saying that because it resonates with his followers.” This implies that their followers actually believe that stuff, otherwise there would be no point in the leaders’ saying it. But you’ve just admitted that there exist people who really believe that stuff, why is it so absurd for the leader to be one of those people?
You’re still self-anchoring. You observe that they want to kill people, so you try to imagine under what conditions you would be willing to kill people.
Well, near as I can tell, your model boils down to “they secretly have to same world-view as I do, and the difference in their rhetoric is because it resonates with their audience”.
For the record I should probably mention my model:
They observe that the Islamic world isn’t as powerful as it was in its glory days. Furthermore, the West and the United States in particular is influencing their culture in ways they don’t like. Solving this problem requires a model of how the world works. Well, the model they turn to is one based on Islam.
There is certainly more that could be added to this model, e.g., a discussion of how feuds work in clan-based societies for starters.
The only part I would leave out of bgaesop’s paragraph is the “not because he actually believed that that was what he was doing”. All of the previous stuff fits fine when both the leader and the intended audience are sincere homo-hypocrites. That is why he is doing it (or equivalently the fact that they do it so well is what made them the leaders). What they believe about the matter can be orthogonal.
Yes, definitely. I meant it that way, but what I actually wrote down is different, I’ll correct it. Thanks for saying this.
Careful about the fundamental attribution error:
I’m sincere in my beliefs; they’re sincere homo-hypocrites.
The warning does not appear relevant. The observation I made is that the description can apply regardless of the specific beliefs of the humans in question. It speaks to the general outcome of the political incentives.
My mistake, wedrifid is correct, I turned my thought into a sentence poorly.
I admit to not having considered this bias on this subject. That said, I don’t think that this bias is affecting me very significantly here, and I think that because of the direction I approached my current position from: I arrived at it after moving from somewhere near where you are currently. I will consider the possibility that my position is affected by this bias, however. The manner in which I am doing so right now is to reread the wikipedia page that I just linked and follow several of the citations. It seems that the consensus is that perceived western aggression against Muslims and Islam is one of the prime motivators—which would then include what I said, and also perceived aggression against Islam specifically. So a mixture of what we’ve both been saying.
I don’t think that they are attempting to inspire a proletarian revolt across nations. I don’t think that they are attempting to engage in a class struggle pitting the poor against the rich. I do think that they perceive themselves and their fellow Muslims as being the victims of exploitation by Westerners, and I think that they perceive a number of dimensions to that exploitation: military, economic, and cultural; perhaps more. Military is fairly obvious. Economic is what I was talking about, I mentioned it specifically because we were discussing the attacks on the World Trade Center. Cultural is what you are talking about. I believe that while it is an important portion of their motivation, it is not the primary piece. Unfortunately their rhetoric focuses on that issue largely (though by no means entirely) which gives an inflated view of its importance.
It might be that we are saying similar things with rather different vocabularies. When you say that the Islamic world isn’t as powerful as it was in its glory days, does that include what I talk about when I say they’re being economically exploited? For instance, instead of a wealthy semi-equitable (or perhaps merely remembered as such) Caliphate, they are frequently poor or highly segmented populations dependent on natural resource exportation? Where does reaction to the West’s military operations fit into your model? That certainly seems to be one of the motivating forces most commonly cited by terrorists themselves.
Out of curiosity, have you been downvoting me? I’ve been upvoting you. I ask because I notice that every time I post in this thread my karma goes down, and though I do realize it’s a silly thing to care about, for some reason I do. Something about human brains enjoying watching numbers go up, I suppose. It’s particularly frustrating because I am enjoying the discussion, but seeing that number going down makes me feel like my participation is unwanted (which I am assuming is not the case, but who knows, maybe it is).
The wikipedia page doesn’t mention anything about “economic oppression”.
A large part of this “western aggressions” is a reaction to said attacks.
Most people who aren’t Marxists don’t think of everything in terms of exploitation. (Note that I was able to correctly identify you as a Marxist simply from your use of the term “economic oppression”).
In that case could you explain what you mean by an issue being “important” to them as it seems to have nothing to do with what they themselves think about the issue.
Given that the gulf states are among the wealthiest per-capita, it’s not us who are exploiting their people. In any case they’re thinking in terms of military and cultural/religious power. To the extend they think about economics at all, its probably because they don’t like how materialist our culture is.
BTW, I don’t think it’s particularly meaningful to apply the term “exploitation” to voluntary, i.e., capitalist, as opposed to forced, i.e., feudal or socialist, economic relations, but that’s another debate.
My other point is that Islam isn’t mere window dressing, but seriously affects the way they think, and hence what they do.
Not recently.
I just remembered the obvious point that I had been forgettig this whole time. Your position seems to me to be basically the position the article we’re both commenting on is directly arguing is a silly, untenable one to take.