How can I rec­on­cile these COVID test false-nega­tive num­bers?

Optimization ProcessOct 27, 2020, 11:56 PM
15 points
5 comments2 min readLW link

Bab­ble challenge: 50 ways to stop torture

seedOct 27, 2020, 7:38 PM
8 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Spoiler-Free Re­view and then Semi-Walk­through: Star Traders: Frontiers

ZviOct 27, 2020, 6:50 PM
11 points
1 comment24 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Me­mory re­con­soli­da­tion for self-affection

Kaj_SotalaOct 27, 2020, 10:10 AM
52 points
11 comments2 min readLW link
(kajsotala.fi)

Whence the symp­toms of so­cial me­dia?

KatjaGraceOct 27, 2020, 7:30 AM
20 points
6 comments2 min readLW link
(meteuphoric.com)

Look­ing for Room­mate in California

xiaolongbaoOct 27, 2020, 5:18 AM
1 point
1 comment1 min readLW link

Dutch-Book­ing CDT: Re­vised Argument

abramdemskiOct 27, 2020, 4:31 AM
51 points
24 comments16 min readLW link

An­nounc­ing Data Se­crets Lox: An Alter­na­tive to Slate Star Codex Open Threads

quanticleOct 27, 2020, 4:24 AM
26 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

Book re­view: Age Later

PeterMcCluskeyOct 27, 2020, 4:21 AM
28 points
3 comments4 min readLW link
(www.bayesianinvestor.com)

On the Dangers of Time Travel

lsusrOct 27, 2020, 3:57 AM
21 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Se­cu­rity Mind­set and Take­off Speeds

DanielFilanOct 27, 2020, 3:20 AM
55 points
23 comments8 min readLW link
(danielfilan.com)

A Cor­re­spon­dence Theorem

johnswentworthOct 26, 2020, 11:28 PM
30 points
6 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] Top Time Travel In­ter­ven­tions?

abramdemskiOct 26, 2020, 11:25 PM
44 points
33 comments2 min readLW link

Is Suc­cess the Enemy of Free­dom? (Full)

alkjashOct 26, 2020, 8:25 PM
302 points
69 comments9 min readLW link1 review
(radimentary.wordpress.com)

Does play­ing hard to get work? AB test­ing for romance

amplemapleOct 26, 2020, 3:29 PM
17 points
26 comments5 min readLW link

Ad­di­tive Oper­a­tions on Carte­sian Frames

Scott GarrabrantOct 26, 2020, 3:12 PM
62 points
6 comments11 min readLW link

Su­per­vised learn­ing of out­puts in the brain

Steven ByrnesOct 26, 2020, 2:32 PM
28 points
9 comments10 min readLW link

Septem­ber 2020 gw­ern.net newsletter

gwernOct 26, 2020, 1:38 PM
17 points
1 commentLW link
(www.gwern.net)

Defen­si­ble positions

Chris_LeongOct 26, 2020, 10:37 AM
5 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Sam Alt­man at SlateS­tarCodex On­line Meetup

JoshuaFoxOct 26, 2020, 10:26 AM
24 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

But what kinds of pup­pets are we?

KatjaGraceOct 26, 2020, 8:40 AM
13 points
2 comments2 min readLW link
(meteuphoric.com)

[Question] Models pre­dict­ing sig­nifi­cant vi­o­lence in the US?

kdbscottOct 25, 2020, 6:45 PM
54 points
6 comments3 min readLW link

Some crit­i­cisms of polling

Jimdrix_HendriOct 25, 2020, 6:45 PM
4 points
4 comments3 min readLW link

Re­ply to Je­bari and Lund­borg on Ar­tifi­cial Superintelligence

Richard_NgoOct 25, 2020, 1:50 PM
31 points
4 comments5 min readLW link
(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

In­creas­ing Iso­la­tion Again

jefftkOct 25, 2020, 1:10 PM
11 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Yet an­other world spirit sock puppet

KatjaGraceOct 25, 2020, 5:30 AM
13 points
2 comments1 min readLW link
(meteuphoric.com)

[Question] Which head­lines and nar­ra­tives are mostly click­bait?

PontorOct 25, 2020, 1:19 AM
5 points
5 comments2 min readLW link

Why Hunt­ing­ton-Hill?

jefftkOct 25, 2020, 12:50 AM
17 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Notes on Courage

David GrossOct 24, 2020, 10:32 PM
15 points
3 comments8 min readLW link

“Pre­dic­tion” and “ex­pla­na­tion” are not causation

jasoncrawfordOct 24, 2020, 6:55 PM
12 points
5 comments1 min readLW link
(twitter.com)

Kar­ls­ruhe Ra­tion­al­ist Meetup

wilmOct 24, 2020, 8:23 AM
6 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

The Dar­win Game—Rounds 0 to 10

lsusrOct 24, 2020, 2:17 AM
107 points
34 comments4 min readLW link

Bab­ble and Prune : 5 new ideas

Teja PrabhuOct 23, 2020, 11:42 PM
3 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What is our true life ex­pec­tancy?

Adam ZernerOct 23, 2020, 11:17 PM
15 points
23 comments1 min readLW link

No Cau­sa­tion with­out Reification

Gordon Seidoh WorleyOct 23, 2020, 8:28 PM
21 points
38 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Des­per­ately look­ing for the right per­son to dis­cuss an al­ign­ment re­lated idea with. (and some gen­eral thoughts for oth­ers with similar prob­lems)

Rasmus EideOct 23, 2020, 7:42 PM
5 points
9 comments3 min readLW link

Lo­cal So­lar Time

jefftkOct 23, 2020, 7:40 PM
16 points
5 comments2 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Ad­just­ing prob­a­bil­ities for the pas­sage of time, us­ing Squiggle

NunoSempereOct 23, 2020, 6:55 PM
19 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

Hu­mans are stun­ningly ra­tio­nal and stun­ningly irrational

Stuart_ArmstrongOct 23, 2020, 2:13 PM
23 points
4 comments2 min readLW link

Pow­er­less Mo­ral Evaluation

SocratesDissatisfiedOct 23, 2020, 10:44 AM
5 points
2 comments4 min readLW link

The bads of ads

KatjaGraceOct 23, 2020, 5:50 AM
108 points
38 comments2 min readLW link
(meteuphoric.com)

[Question] Should we use qual­ifiers in speech?

Adam ZernerOct 23, 2020, 4:46 AM
35 points
34 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What is the cur­rent bot­tle­neck on ge­netic en­g­ineer­ing of hu­man em­bryos for im­proved IQ

Eli TyreOct 23, 2020, 2:36 AM
36 points
13 comments1 min readLW link

Find­ing Lev­er­age: Sys­tem Think­ing & Change Management

JASmithyOct 22, 2020, 11:31 PM
4 points
0 comments6 min readLW link

The Trou­ble With Babbles

DirectedEvolutionOct 22, 2020, 9:31 PM
15 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

Chang­ing the size of Congress

jefftkOct 22, 2020, 8:50 PM
4 points
2 comments2 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] Should I pre­fer to get a tax re­fund, or not to?

MichaelDickensOct 22, 2020, 8:21 PM
1 point
6 comments1 min readLW link

An Open Let­ter On Love

nromanOct 22, 2020, 8:21 PM
11 points
1 comment5 min readLW link

Effec­tive Epidemiology

Mike HarrisOct 22, 2020, 7:45 PM
26 points
13 comments9 min readLW link

My case for start­ing blogging

Neel NandaOct 22, 2020, 5:43 PM
36 points
2 comments16 min readLW link
(www.neelnanda.io)