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How can I reconcile these COVID test false-negative numbers?

Optimization Process27 Oct 2020 23:56 UTC

15 points

5 comments2 min readLW link

Babble challenge: 50 ways to stop torture

seed27 Oct 2020 19:38 UTC

8 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

Spoiler-Free Review and then Semi-Walkthrough: Star Traders: Frontiers

Zvi27 Oct 2020 18:50 UTC

11 points

1 comment24 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Memory reconsolidation for self-affection

Kaj_Sotala27 Oct 2020 10:10 UTC

52 points

11 comments2 min readLW link

(kajsotala.fi)

Whence the symptoms of social media?

KatjaGrace27 Oct 2020 7:30 UTC

20 points

6 comments2 min readLW link

(meteuphoric.com)

Looking for Roommate in California

xiaolongbao27 Oct 2020 5:18 UTC

1 point

1 comment1 min readLW link

Dutch-Booking CDT: Revised Argument

abramdemski27 Oct 2020 4:31 UTC

51 points

24 comments16 min readLW link

Announcing Data Secrets Lox: An Alternative to Slate Star Codex Open Threads

quanticle27 Oct 2020 4:24 UTC

26 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

Book review: Age Later

PeterMcCluskey27 Oct 2020 4:21 UTC

28 points

3 comments4 min readLW link

(www.bayesianinvestor.com)

On the Dangers of Time Travel

lsusr27 Oct 2020 3:57 UTC

21 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

Security Mindset and Takeoff Speeds

DanielFilan27 Oct 2020 3:20 UTC

55 points

23 comments8 min readLW link

(danielfilan.com)

A Correspondence Theorem

johnswentworth26 Oct 2020 23:28 UTC

30 points

6 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] Top Time Travel Interventions?

abramdemski26 Oct 2020 23:25 UTC

44 points

33 comments2 min readLW link

Is Success the Enemy of Freedom? (Full)

alkjash26 Oct 2020 20:25 UTC

293 points

69 comments9 min readLW link 1 review

(radimentary.wordpress.com)

Does playing hard to get work? AB testing for romance

amplemaple26 Oct 2020 15:29 UTC

17 points

26 comments5 min readLW link

Additive Operations on Cartesian Frames

Scott Garrabrant26 Oct 2020 15:12 UTC

62 points

6 comments11 min readLW link

Supervised learning of outputs in the brain

Steven Byrnes26 Oct 2020 14:32 UTC

28 points

9 comments10 min readLW link

September 2020 gwern.net newsletter

gwern26 Oct 2020 13:38 UTC

17 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

(www.gwern.net)

Defensible positions

Chris_Leong26 Oct 2020 10:37 UTC

5 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Sam Altman at SlateStarCodex Online Meetup

JoshuaFox26 Oct 2020 10:26 UTC

24 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

But what kinds of puppets are we?

KatjaGrace26 Oct 2020 8:40 UTC

13 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

(meteuphoric.com)

[Question] Models predicting significant violence in the US?

kdbscott25 Oct 2020 18:45 UTC

54 points

6 comments3 min readLW link

Some criticisms of polling

Jimdrix_Hendri25 Oct 2020 18:45 UTC

4 points

4 comments3 min readLW link

Reply to Jebari and Lundborg on Artificial Superintelligence

Richard_Ngo25 Oct 2020 13:50 UTC

31 points

4 comments5 min readLW link

(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

Increasing Isolation Again

jefftk25 Oct 2020 13:10 UTC

11 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Yet another world spirit sock puppet

KatjaGrace25 Oct 2020 5:30 UTC

13 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

(meteuphoric.com)

[Question] Which headlines and narratives are mostly clickbait?

Pontor25 Oct 2020 1:19 UTC

5 points

5 comments2 min readLW link

Why Huntington-Hill?

jefftk25 Oct 2020 0:50 UTC

17 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Notes on Courage

David Gross24 Oct 2020 22:32 UTC

15 points

3 comments7 min readLW link

“Prediction” and “explanation” are not causation

jasoncrawford24 Oct 2020 18:55 UTC

12 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

(twitter.com)

Karlsruhe Rationalist Meetup

wilm24 Oct 2020 8:23 UTC

6 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

The Darwin Game—Rounds 0 to 10

lsusr24 Oct 2020 2:17 UTC

107 points

34 comments4 min readLW link

Babble and Prune : 5 new ideas

Teja Prabhu23 Oct 2020 23:42 UTC

3 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What is our true life expectancy?

Adam Zerner23 Oct 2020 23:17 UTC

15 points

23 comments1 min readLW link

Just For Fun

proshowersinger23 Oct 2020 21:35 UTC

7 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

No Causation without Reification

Gordon Seidoh Worley23 Oct 2020 20:28 UTC

21 points

38 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Desperately looking for the right person to discuss an alignment related idea with. (and some general thoughts for others with similar problems)

Rasmus Eide23 Oct 2020 19:42 UTC

5 points

9 comments3 min readLW link

Local Solar Time

jefftk23 Oct 2020 19:40 UTC

16 points

5 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Adjusting probabilities for the passage of time, using Squiggle

NunoSempere23 Oct 2020 18:55 UTC

19 points

2 comments3 min readLW link

Humans are stunningly rational and stunningly irrational

Stuart_Armstrong23 Oct 2020 14:13 UTC

23 points

4 comments2 min readLW link

Powerless Moral Evaluation

SocratesDissatisfied23 Oct 2020 10:44 UTC

5 points

2 comments4 min readLW link

The bads of ads

KatjaGrace23 Oct 2020 5:50 UTC

107 points

38 comments2 min readLW link

(meteuphoric.com)

[Question] Should we use qualifiers in speech?

Adam Zerner23 Oct 2020 4:46 UTC

35 points

34 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What is the current bottleneck on genetic engineering of human embryos for improved IQ

Eli Tyre23 Oct 2020 2:36 UTC

36 points

13 comments1 min readLW link

Finding Leverage: System Thinking & Change Management

JASmithy22 Oct 2020 23:31 UTC

4 points

0 comments6 min readLW link

The Trouble With Babbles

DirectedEvolution22 Oct 2020 21:31 UTC

15 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

Changing the size of Congress

jefftk22 Oct 2020 20:50 UTC

4 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] Should I prefer to get a tax refund, or not to?

MichaelDickens22 Oct 2020 20:21 UTC

1 point

6 comments1 min readLW link

An Open Letter On Love

nroman22 Oct 2020 20:21 UTC

11 points

1 comment5 min readLW link

Effective Epidemiology

Mike Harris22 Oct 2020 19:45 UTC

26 points

13 comments9 min readLW link