How can I rec­on­cile these COVID test false-nega­tive num­bers?

Optimization Process27 Oct 2020 23:56 UTC
15 points
5 comments2 min readLW link

Bab­ble challenge: 50 ways to stop torture

seed27 Oct 2020 19:38 UTC
8 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Spoiler-Free Re­view and then Semi-Walk­through: Star Traders: Frontiers

Zvi27 Oct 2020 18:50 UTC
11 points
1 comment24 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Me­mory re­con­soli­da­tion for self-affection

Kaj_Sotala27 Oct 2020 10:10 UTC
52 points
11 comments2 min readLW link
(kajsotala.fi)

Whence the symp­toms of so­cial me­dia?

KatjaGrace27 Oct 2020 7:30 UTC
20 points
6 comments2 min readLW link
(meteuphoric.com)

Look­ing for Room­mate in California

xiaolongbao27 Oct 2020 5:18 UTC
1 point
1 comment1 min readLW link

Dutch-Book­ing CDT: Re­vised Argument

abramdemski27 Oct 2020 4:31 UTC
51 points
24 comments16 min readLW link

An­nounc­ing Data Se­crets Lox: An Alter­na­tive to Slate Star Codex Open Threads

quanticle27 Oct 2020 4:24 UTC
26 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

Book re­view: Age Later

PeterMcCluskey27 Oct 2020 4:21 UTC
28 points
3 comments4 min readLW link
(www.bayesianinvestor.com)

On the Dangers of Time Travel

lsusr27 Oct 2020 3:57 UTC
21 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Se­cu­rity Mind­set and Take­off Speeds

DanielFilan27 Oct 2020 3:20 UTC
55 points
23 comments8 min readLW link
(danielfilan.com)

A Cor­re­spon­dence Theorem

johnswentworth26 Oct 2020 23:28 UTC
30 points
6 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] Top Time Travel In­ter­ven­tions?

abramdemski26 Oct 2020 23:25 UTC
44 points
33 comments2 min readLW link

Is Suc­cess the Enemy of Free­dom? (Full)

alkjash26 Oct 2020 20:25 UTC
294 points
69 comments9 min readLW link1 review
(radimentary.wordpress.com)

Does play­ing hard to get work? AB test­ing for romance

amplemaple26 Oct 2020 15:29 UTC
17 points
26 comments5 min readLW link

Ad­di­tive Oper­a­tions on Carte­sian Frames

Scott Garrabrant26 Oct 2020 15:12 UTC
62 points
6 comments11 min readLW link

Su­per­vised learn­ing of out­puts in the brain

Steven Byrnes26 Oct 2020 14:32 UTC
28 points
9 comments10 min readLW link

Septem­ber 2020 gw­ern.net newsletter

gwern26 Oct 2020 13:38 UTC
17 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(www.gwern.net)

Defen­si­ble positions

Chris_Leong26 Oct 2020 10:37 UTC
5 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Sam Alt­man at SlateS­tarCodex On­line Meetup

JoshuaFox26 Oct 2020 10:26 UTC
24 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

But what kinds of pup­pets are we?

KatjaGrace26 Oct 2020 8:40 UTC
13 points
2 comments2 min readLW link
(meteuphoric.com)

[Question] Models pre­dict­ing sig­nifi­cant vi­o­lence in the US?

kdbscott25 Oct 2020 18:45 UTC
54 points
6 comments3 min readLW link

Some crit­i­cisms of polling

Jimdrix_Hendri25 Oct 2020 18:45 UTC
4 points
4 comments3 min readLW link

Re­ply to Je­bari and Lund­borg on Ar­tifi­cial Superintelligence

Richard_Ngo25 Oct 2020 13:50 UTC
31 points
4 comments5 min readLW link
(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

In­creas­ing Iso­la­tion Again

jefftk25 Oct 2020 13:10 UTC
11 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Yet an­other world spirit sock puppet

KatjaGrace25 Oct 2020 5:30 UTC
13 points
2 comments1 min readLW link
(meteuphoric.com)

[Question] Which head­lines and nar­ra­tives are mostly click­bait?

Pontor25 Oct 2020 1:19 UTC
5 points
5 comments2 min readLW link

Why Hunt­ing­ton-Hill?

jefftk25 Oct 2020 0:50 UTC
17 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Notes on Courage

David Gross24 Oct 2020 22:32 UTC
15 points
3 comments7 min readLW link

“Pre­dic­tion” and “ex­pla­na­tion” are not causation

jasoncrawford24 Oct 2020 18:55 UTC
12 points
5 comments1 min readLW link
(twitter.com)

Kar­ls­ruhe Ra­tion­al­ist Meetup

wilm24 Oct 2020 8:23 UTC
6 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

The Dar­win Game—Rounds 0 to 10

lsusr24 Oct 2020 2:17 UTC
107 points
34 comments4 min readLW link

Bab­ble and Prune : 5 new ideas

Teja Prabhu23 Oct 2020 23:42 UTC
3 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What is our true life ex­pec­tancy?

Adam Zerner23 Oct 2020 23:17 UTC
15 points
23 comments1 min readLW link

Just For Fun

proshowersinger23 Oct 2020 21:35 UTC
7 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

No Cau­sa­tion with­out Reification

Gordon Seidoh Worley23 Oct 2020 20:28 UTC
21 points
38 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Des­per­ately look­ing for the right per­son to dis­cuss an al­ign­ment re­lated idea with. (and some gen­eral thoughts for oth­ers with similar prob­lems)

Rasmus Eide23 Oct 2020 19:42 UTC
5 points
9 comments3 min readLW link

Lo­cal So­lar Time

jefftk23 Oct 2020 19:40 UTC
16 points
5 comments2 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Ad­just­ing prob­a­bil­ities for the pas­sage of time, us­ing Squiggle

NunoSempere23 Oct 2020 18:55 UTC
19 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

Hu­mans are stun­ningly ra­tio­nal and stun­ningly irrational

Stuart_Armstrong23 Oct 2020 14:13 UTC
23 points
4 comments2 min readLW link

Pow­er­less Mo­ral Evaluation

SocratesDissatisfied23 Oct 2020 10:44 UTC
5 points
2 comments4 min readLW link

The bads of ads

KatjaGrace23 Oct 2020 5:50 UTC
108 points
38 comments2 min readLW link
(meteuphoric.com)

[Question] Should we use qual­ifiers in speech?

Adam Zerner23 Oct 2020 4:46 UTC
35 points
34 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What is the cur­rent bot­tle­neck on ge­netic en­g­ineer­ing of hu­man em­bryos for im­proved IQ

Eli Tyre23 Oct 2020 2:36 UTC
36 points
13 comments1 min readLW link

Find­ing Lev­er­age: Sys­tem Think­ing & Change Management

JASmithy22 Oct 2020 23:31 UTC
4 points
0 comments6 min readLW link

The Trou­ble With Babbles

DirectedEvolution22 Oct 2020 21:31 UTC
15 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

Chang­ing the size of Congress

jefftk22 Oct 2020 20:50 UTC
4 points
2 comments2 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] Should I pre­fer to get a tax re­fund, or not to?

MichaelDickens22 Oct 2020 20:21 UTC
1 point
6 comments1 min readLW link

An Open Let­ter On Love

nroman22 Oct 2020 20:21 UTC
11 points
1 comment5 min readLW link

Effec­tive Epidemiology

Mike Harris22 Oct 2020 19:45 UTC
26 points
13 comments9 min readLW link