Separat­ing the roles of the­ory and di­rect em­piri­cal ev­i­dence in be­lief for­ma­tion: the ex­am­ples of min­i­mum wage and an­thro­pogenic global warming

Doubt re­gard­ing ba­sic assumptions

A new deriva­tion of the Born rule

The rep­re­sen­ta­tional fallacy

The rep­re­sen­ta­tional fallacy

Ar­tifi­cial Utility Mon­sters as Effec­tive Altruism

[LINK] seL4, se­cure op­er­at­ing sys­tem ker­nel is be­ing open-sourced

An overview of fore­cast­ing for poli­tics, con­flict, and poli­ti­cal violence

How do you no­tice when you are ig­no­rant of nec­es­sary al­ter­na­tive hy­pothe­ses?

Meetup : Tel Aviv: Choos­ing re­search topics

Meetup : Tel Aviv Meetup: Choos­ing re­search topics

Meetup : Tel Aviv Meetup: Choos­ing re­search topics

Vec­tor psychology

Utili­tar­i­anism and Rel­a­tivity Realism

[LINK] Why Talk to Philoso­phers: Physi­cist Sean Car­roll Dis­cusses “Com­mon Mi­sun­der­stand­ings” about Philosophy

Les­sons from weather fore­cast­ing and its his­tory for fore­cast­ing as a domain

Open thread, 23-29 June 2014

How do you take notes?

Will AGI sur­prise the world?

Mo­ti­va­tors: Altru­is­tic Ac­tions for Non-Altru­is­tic Reasons

Weekly LW Meetups

Meetup : Wash­ing­ton D.C.: See­ing Off

Iden­ti­fi­ca­tion of Force Mul­ti­pli­ers for Success

Meetup : Bratis­lava Meetup XIV.

Con­ser­va­tion of ex­pected moral ev­i­dence, clarified

Meetup : Moscow meet up

Meetup : Vienna

[LINK] Scott Aaron­son on Google, Break­ing Cir­cu­lar­ity and Eigenmorality

An AI Takeover Thought Experiment

Proper value learn­ing through indifference

Against util­ity functions

Paper­clip Max­i­mizer Re­vis­ited

[LINK] Elon Musk in­ter­ested in AI safety

False Friends and Tone Policing

Rel­a­tive and Ab­solute Benefit

Flow­ers for Algernon

De­pres­sion’s evolu­tion­ary roots

Meetup : Salt Lake City, UT: Sum­mer Sols­tice 2014

On Ter­mi­nal Goals and Virtue Ethics

Two kinds of pop­u­la­tion ethics, and Cur­rent-Pop­u­la­tion Utilitarianism

Ra­tion­al­ist Sport

[LINK] Coun­ter­fac­tual Strategies

An ex­tended class of util­ity functions

Value learn­ing: ul­tra-so­phis­ti­cated Cake or Death

[LINK] The er­rors, in­sights and les­sons of fa­mous AI pre­dic­tions: preprint

Meetup : Can­berra: Many Wor­lds + Para­noid Debating

Thoughts on Struc­tur­ing AI Thought

[LINK] The fu­ture of the Tur­ing test and in­tel­li­gence measures

Max­i­mize Worst Case Bayes Score

From “Coulda” and “Woulda” to “Shoulda”: Pre­dict­ing De­ci­sions to Min­i­mize Re­gret for Par­tially Ra­tional Agents