Meetup : Toronto: mak­ing hard decisions

How to build the skill and the habit of ex­per­i­men­ta­tion?

Belief Chains

My new pa­per: Con­cept learn­ing for safe au­tonomous AI

Topolog­i­cal truth pred­i­cates: Towards a model of perfect Bayesian agents

Or­a­cle ma­chines in­stead of topolog­i­cal truth predicates

Sim­plic­ity pri­ors with re­flec­tive oracles

A primer on prov­abil­ity logic

Main vs. Discussion

An op­ti­mal­ity re­sult for modal UDT

Main vs. Discussion

Pre­dic­tors that don’t try to ma­nipu­late you(?)

Dumb­ing Down Hu­man Values

Op­ti­miz­ing ways to con­vey ra­tio­nal think­ing strate­gies to broad audience

Weekly LW Meetups

Meetup : A Ra­tion­al­ist’s Guide to Strength (Vienna)

Meetup : Ra­tion­al­ity Week­end Vienna

Meetup : West LA: Lin­guis­tic Relativity

Meetup : Wash­ing­ton, D.C.: To-Do List Hacking

[Link] Physics-based an­throp­ics?

The “best” math­e­mat­i­cally-in­formed top­ics?

The best math­e­mat­i­cally-in­formed topics

In­ten­tion­ally Rais­ing the San­ity Waterline

The germ of an idea

The Athe­ist’s Tithe

Meetup : Bos­ton: Self Therapy

Link: Rob Bens­inger on Less Wrong and vegetarianism

Meetup : Can­berra: Liar’s Dice!

Others’ pre­dic­tions of your perfor­mance are usu­ally more accurate

Deriv­ing prob­a­bil­ities from causal diagrams

Meetup : Glas­gow (Scot­land) Meetup

Link: Snow­den interviewed

Meetup : War­saw Novem­ber Meetup

Link: In­ter­est­ing Video About Au­toma­tion and the Singularity

Rod­ney Brooks talks about Evil AI and men­tions MIRI [LINK]

Ex­pan­sion on A Pre­vi­ous Cost-Benefit Anal­y­sis of Vac­ci­nat­ing Healthy Adults Against Flu

...

The Ar­gu­ment from Cri­sis and Pes­simism Bias

Cer­tifi­cates of Im­pact [Paul Chris­ti­ano; Link]

What’s spe­cial about a fan­tas­tic out­come? Sugges­tions wanted.

Meetup : Ur­bana-Cham­paign: TRVTH

A Cost- Benefit Anal­y­sis of Im­mu­niz­ing Healthy Adults Against Influenza

Su­per­in­tel­li­gence 9: The or­thog­o­nal­ity of in­tel­li­gence and goals

Should we go all in on ex­is­ten­tial risk? - Con­sid­er­ing Effec­tive Altruism

Ex­ploit­ing EDT

The value of do­ing one’s own philan­thropic re­search?

Things to con­sider when op­ti­miz­ing: Com­mut­ing, Transportation

My third-of-life crisis

Meetup : Is­rael Less Wrong Meetup—So­cial, Board Games

Open thread, Nov. 10 - Nov. 16, 2014