[Link] One in five Amer­i­can adults say they are athe­ist, ag­nos­tic or “noth­ing in par­tic­u­lar”

Aban­don­ing Cached Selves to Re-Write My Source Code Par­tially, I’ve Be­come Unstable

[Link] “Fewer than X% of Amer­i­cans know Y”

[Link] Think Bayes: Bayesian Statis­tics Made Simple

Clar­ifi­ca­tion: Be­havi­ourism & Reinforcement

[SEQ RERUN] Eco­nomic Defi­ni­tion of Intelligence

Meta-rationality

com­ment to dude

Meetup : West LA Meetup—Rea­son­ing About Politics

Signs you’re on LW too much

Rais­ing the fore­cast­ing wa­ter­line (part 1)

[SEQ RERUN] Effi­cient Cross-Do­main Optimization

Meetup : Ber­lin Meetup

Rea­sons for some­one to “ig­nore” you

Fire­wal­ling the Op­ti­mal from the Rational

Point-Based Value Iteration

In­ter­nal Availability

[SEQ RERUN] Mea­sur­ing Op­ti­miza­tion Power

Ar­ti­cle sketch: When pro­cras­ti­na­tion isn’t akrasia

Meetup : Mon­tréal Meetup

LessWrong help desk—free pa­per down­loads and more

Meetup : Win­ter Sols­tice Megameetup—NYC

Meetup : Brus­sels meetup

Rais­ing the waterline

[Book Re­view] “The Sig­nal and the Noise: Why So Many Pre­dic­tions Fail—But Some Don’t.”, by Nate Silver

[SEQ RERUN] Aiming at the Target

[LINK] Learn­ing with­out prac­tice, through fMRI induction

Giulio Tononi’s “In­te­grated In­for­ma­tion The­ory” of Consciousness

On­line Op­ti­mal Philan­thropy Meetup: Tue 10/​9, 8pm ET

[LINK] The half-life of a fact

Ra­tion­al­ity: Ap­pre­ci­at­ing Cog­ni­tive Algorithms

Skill: The Map is Not the Territory

[link] Pei Wang: Mo­ti­va­tion Man­age­ment in AGI Systems

What I Learned About Meetup Organization

Meetup : Sofia, Bul­garia Meetup

Meetup : Wash­ing­ton DC Show and tell meetup: Economics

[Link] In­side the Cold, Calcu­lat­ing Mind of LessWrong?

Weekly LW Mee­tups: Austin, Ber­lin, Melbourne, Moscow, Pur­due, Vienna, Wash­ing­ton DC

[Link] Tech­nol­ogy will de­stroy hu­man nature

We won’t be able to recog­nise the hu­man Gödel sentence

Hang­man as anal­ogy for Nat­u­ral Selection

“Hide com­ments in down­voted threads” is now active

[SEQ RERUN] Belief in Intelligence

Walk­ing and Chew­ing Gum

[LINK] Differ­ent heuris­tics at differ­ent de­ci­sion speeds

[SEQ RERUN] Ex­pected Creative Surprises

De­liber­ate Prac­tice for De­ci­sion Making

Fun fact: in med­i­cal school, we had a mini-les­son on com­mon cog­ni­tive er­rors in medicine

[Link] Knowl­edge, not opinion, in­for­ma­tion ex­trac­tion, not persuasion

Cog­ni­tive bias and conservatism