Why We Can’t Take Ex­pected Value Es­ti­mates Liter­ally (Even When They’re Un­bi­ased)

Meetup : Chicago Meetup At State and Elm, Au­gust 27th

(US only) Donate $2 to char­ity (bing re­wards)

Meetup : DC Meetup: NoVa, Ra­tion­al­ity Games

[Link] Givewell: Why We Can’t Take Ex­pected Value Es­ti­mates Literally

[LINK] NYTimes es­say on willpower, based on an up­com­ing Baumeister book

Need­ing Bet­ter PR

Meetup : Hous­ton so­cial meetup

[SEQ RERUN] Ab­sur­dity Heuris­tic, Ab­sur­dity Bias

Will DNA Anal­y­sis Make Poli­tics Less of a Mind-Killer?

[LINK] Brief Dis­cus­sion of As­teroid & Nu­clear Risk from pa­per by Hellman

LINK: Ben Go­ertzel; Does Hu­man­ity Need an “AI-Nanny”?

Need Help With Decision

[SEQ RERUN] “Science” as Cu­ri­os­ity-Stopper

New­comb and Procrastination

[Link] TED Talk on Per­ceived Value

Test to see if “c” cur­rently works in top level posts

That let­ter af­ter B is not ren­der­ing on Less Wrong?

Leav­ing out the dead

The Goal of the Bayesian Conspiracy

Are Deon­tolog­i­cal Mo­ral Judg­ments Ra­tion­al­iza­tions?

Anki deck for Cog­ni­tive Science in One Lesson

Short & silly su­per­in­tel­li­gence fic: “Ax­iom Chains”

Meetup : Irv­ine Meetup Wed­nes­day Au­gust 17

Hu­mans: Not Carved from Marble

[SEQ RERUN] Ex­plain/​Wor­ship/​Ig­nore?

Cached Phrases

[link] Friendly AI and Utilitarianism

[Link] Scott Aaron­son on Why Philoso­phers Should Care About Com­pu­ta­tional Complexity

Noz­ick’s fluff, or Omega the trick­ster.

The Whistleblower

What are you work­ing on?

Help! All this new found ra­tio­nal­ity and room for im­prove­ment is caus­ing me to burn out

[Link] Study on Group Intelligence

Re­mind Phys­i­cal­ists They’re Physicalists

[SEQ RERUN] Stranger Than History

Judg­ment Un­der Uncer­tainty sum­maries, Part 1: Representativeness

[Link] Nick Bostrom on the Si­mu­la­tion Argument

The Dooms­day Ar­gu­ment and Self-Sam­pling As­sump­tion are wrong, but in­duc­tion is al­ive and well.

Cry­on­ics is Quan­tum Suicide (minus the suicide)

How good an em­u­la­tion is re­quired?

Take heed, for it is a trap

[SEQ RERUN] Mak­ing His­tory Available

Magic Tricks Re­vealed: Test Your Rationality

Does quan­tum me­chan­ics make simu­la­tions neg­ligible?

A Prob­lem with Ab­bre­vi­a­tions and Acronyms

An­throp­ics Does Not Work LIke That

“Meetup” pro­posal: Google+

Over­com­ing bias in others

Mu­nich Meetup, Satur­day Septem­ber 10th, 2PM