VipulNaik

The great de­cline in Wikipe­dia pageviews (con­densed ver­sion)

Ten­ta­tive tips for peo­ple en­gaged in an ex­er­cise that in­volves some form of pre­dic­tion or forecasting

Claim: Sce­nario plan­ning is prefer­able to quan­ti­ta­tive fore­cast­ing for un­der­stand­ing and cop­ing with AI progress

[QUESTION]: Look­ing for in­sights from ma­chine learn­ing that helped im­prove state-of-the-art hu­man thinking

[QUESTION]: Aca­demic so­cial sci­ence and ma­chine learning

How defer­en­tial should we be to the fore­casts of sub­ject mat­ter ex­perts?

Sce­nario analy­ses for tech­nolog­i­cal progress for the next decade

Com­mu­ni­cat­ing fore­cast uncertainty

Fore­cast­ing rare events

[QUESTION]: Driver­less car forecasts

Do­mains of forecasting

The in­su­lar­ity cri­tique of cli­mate science

[QUESTION]: What are your views on cli­mate change, and how did you form them?

Car­bon diox­ide, cli­mate sen­si­tivity, feed­backs, and the his­tor­i­cal record: a cur­sory ex­am­i­na­tion of the An­thro­pogenic Global Warm­ing (AGW) hypothesis

[QUESTION]: LessWrong web traf­fic data?

Time se­ries fore­cast­ing for global tem­per­a­ture: an out­side view of cli­mate forecasting

Cli­mate sci­ence: how it mat­ters for un­der­stand­ing fore­cast­ing, ma­te­ri­als I’ve read or plan to read, sources of po­ten­tial bias

Weather and cli­mate fore­cast­ing: how the challenges differ by time horizon

Fu­tures stud­ies: the field and the as­so­ci­ated community

Sce­nario plan­ning, its util­ity, and its re­la­tion­ship with forecasting