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Tom Davidson

Karma: 1,036

AI-en­abled coups: a small group could use AI to seize power

Apr 16, 2025, 4:51 PM
128 points
18 comments7 min readLW link

Will com­pute bot­tle­necks pre­vent a soft­ware in­tel­li­gence ex­plo­sion?

Tom DavidsonApr 4, 2025, 5:41 PM
74 points
9 comments12 min readLW link

Will the Need to Re­train AI Models from Scratch Block a Soft­ware In­tel­li­gence Ex­plo­sion?

Tom DavidsonMar 28, 2025, 2:12 PM
10 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

Will AI R&D Au­toma­tion Cause a Soft­ware In­tel­li­gence Ex­plo­sion?

Mar 26, 2025, 6:12 PM
19 points
3 comments2 min readLW link
(www.forethought.org)

Three Types of In­tel­li­gence Explosion

Mar 17, 2025, 2:47 PM
39 points
8 comments3 min readLW link
(www.forethought.org)

Forethought: a new AI macros­trat­egy group

Mar 11, 2025, 3:39 PM
17 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

Could Ad­vanced AI Ac­cel­er­ate the Pace of AI Progress? In­ter­views with AI Researchers

Mar 3, 2025, 7:05 PM
43 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(papers.ssrn.com)

Hu­man takeover might be worse than AI takeover

Tom DavidsonJan 10, 2025, 4:53 PM
140 points
55 comments8 min readLW link

Should there be just one west­ern AGI pro­ject?

Dec 3, 2024, 10:11 AM
78 points
75 comments15 min readLW link
(www.forethought.org)

Take­off speeds pre­sen­ta­tion at Anthropic

Tom DavidsonJun 4, 2024, 10:46 PM
92 points
0 comments25 min readLW link

Let’s use AI to harden hu­man defenses against AI manipulation

Tom DavidsonMay 17, 2023, 11:33 PM
35 points
7 comments24 min readLW link

Which AI out­puts should hu­mans check for shenani­gans, to avoid AI takeover? A sim­ple model

Tom DavidsonMar 27, 2023, 11:36 PM
16 points
3 comments8 min readLW link

What a com­pute-cen­tric frame­work says about AI take­off speeds

Tom DavidsonJan 23, 2023, 4:02 AM
188 points
30 comments16 min readLW link1 review

Limi­ta­tions of Laplace’s rule of succession

Tom DavidsonApr 19, 2022, 12:27 AM
35 points
2 comments6 min readLW link

Some thoughts on David Rood­man’s GWP model and its re­la­tion to AI timelines

Tom DavidsonJul 19, 2021, 10:59 PM
32 points
1 comment8 min readLW link