I’m afraid I don’t really have any useful feedback, but I did enjoy it. If nothing else it reminded me that I used to love crosswords and haven’t done any in yonks, so thanks for that!
I think it’s useful to have a more diverse set of introduction to rationality posts
Agreed. As long as they’re not inaccurate or misleading, having a variety of introductory articles is definitely valuable. Though I think I already had a decent beginner level grasp of Bayes when I read this, the crossword theme suggested “think in pencil” as a rather pleasing shorthand for the importance of resisting certainty and undue attachment to beliefs.
That’s true, but every term you could use to describe misleading, counterfactual or just basically horrible statements can also be used as a rhetorical weapon without regard to whether it’s actually applicable in a given case. Lies, propaganda, fake news, twisted facts, hate speech, political correctness—you can use any of them to shut the door on argument. “Bias” is used like that often—“you’re just biased!”—but we still have to deal with bias as a real thing.
That said I’m not sure “Dangerous speech” is a useful new term itself. It’s very vague, and it has an Orwellian ring to it, and it seems like it would derail many discussions of the actual content of the speech into arguments about definitions of “dangerous”. If anyone wants to defend the utility of it, go ahead and I’ll hear it, but I’m usually only in favour of introducing new terms when they actually fill a gap. We already have terms like “lies” and “hate speech” and “incitement to violence” and what have you, so I’m not sure what “dangerous speech” would add.