snewman

Karma: 624

Software engineer and repeat startup founder; best known for Writely (aka Google Docs). Now starting https://www.aisoup.org to foster constructive expert conversations about open questions in AI and AI policy, and posting at https://amistrongeryet.substack.com and https://x.com/snewmanpv.

Updates from Comments on “AI 2027 is a Bet Against Amdahl’s Law”

snewmanMay 2, 2025, 11:52 PM

35 points

2 comments13 min readLW link

Interpreting the METR Time Horizons Post

snewmanApr 30, 2025, 3:03 AM

66 points

12 comments10 min readLW link

(amistrongeryet.substack.com)

AI 2027 is a Bet Against Amdahl’s Law

snewmanApr 21, 2025, 3:09 AM

123 points

54 comments9 min readLW link

What Indicators Should We Watch to Disambiguate AGI Timelines?

snewmanJan 6, 2025, 7:57 PM

139 points

57 comments13 min readLW link

Towards Better Milestones for Monitoring AI Capabilities

snewmanSep 27, 2023, 9:18 PM

11 points

0 comments14 min readLW link

The AI Explosion Might Never Happen

snewmanSep 19, 2023, 11:20 PM

22 points

31 comments9 min readLW link

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snewman

Up­dates from Com­ments on “AI 2027 is a Bet Against Am­dahl’s Law”

In­ter­pret­ing the METR Time Hori­zons Post

AI 2027 is a Bet Against Am­dahl’s Law

What Indi­ca­tors Should We Watch to Disam­biguate AGI Timelines?

Towards Bet­ter Mile­stones for Mon­i­tor­ing AI Capabilities