Freelance Software Engineer at day, Rationalist and Effective Altruist at night
Currently, under contract @ METR.
Anonymous Feedback Form: https://www.admonymous.co/martin-milbradt
Milli | Martin
Karma: 117
Thanks for the post, it’s useful to be reminded of every now and then. The first time I thought about it was when thinking about the statement by doctors that “somebodies life expectancy is 6 months”. This also actually means that there is a high chance to die very soon, but if that doesn’t happen they’ll probably live on for many years.
Planning as if they would live for +/- 6 months is useless in that case.
Here’s a form to give the Lightcone team anonymous feedback about this decision (or anything).
The link seems to be missing.
Also: Looking forward to the postmortem.
LessWrong open thread, I love it. I hope they become as lively as the ACX Open Threads (if they have the same intention).
I’m reading the sequences this year (1/day, motivated by this post) and am enjoying it so far. Lmk if I’m wasting my time by not “just” reading the highlights.
PS: In case you or someone you know is looking for a software engineer, here’s my profile: https://cv.martinmilbradt.de/. Preferably freelance, but I’m open to employment if the project is impactful or innovative.
Dang I seem to have not participated.
Can you give the percentiles for people with >130, 140 and 160 IQ (self reported) to determine that the 150 IQ cutoff is not cherry-picked? Does it work like that?
I’m doing it for years already but have not done analysis. My dentist empathized also brushing my gums. GPT has arguments in favor of that when prompted directly.
Has GPT suggested anything unexpected yet?
I don’t know how to make Meditations on Moloch into a video. But it has shaped me deeply and I feel it contains a lot of important lessons that could make or break the future.
Closing paragraph:
He always and everywhere offers the same deal: throw what you love most into the flames, and I can grant you power.
As long as the offer’s open, it will be irresistible. So we need to close the offer. Only another god can kill Moloch. We have one on our side, but he needs our help. We should give it to him.
Ginsberg’s poem famously begins “I saw the best minds of my generation destroyed by madness”. I am luckier than Ginsberg. I got to see the best minds of my generation identify a problem and get to work.
Thank you for short and sweet the review.
But all the personal connections of the characters before the apocalypse were transient and superficial. Their relationships after the apocalypse aren’t.
I wonder how to get that feeling of deep connectedness (I assume) people in small communities and tribes had in the past. An additional challenge is that it might cause people to care even less about people not in their group.
The close knit group that sticks together through thick and thin is a fantasy of mine that hopefully can be achieved without catastrophe.
Great video.
Minor complaint: Is there no way to fix numeric mistakes in post production? Sounds to me like a problem modern sound editing software should be able to fix.
Here are the links to the articles from the books. Let me know if there are any mistakes.
Notes:
I didn’t find “Do Birth Order Effects Exist?”, “Challenges to Christiano’s Iterated Amplification Proposal” seems to be only on intelligence.org and “Response to FAQ on Iterated Amplification” seems to be a comment and not a post of it’s own.
Postmortem: Trying out for Manifold Markets
Very nice solution.
You a word here:
Either the AGI has the camera or the AGI has hacked your other nine sensors.
Application form is closed. Can this be marked in the title?
Pharasma is from Pathfinder and not D&D, isn’t she?
I don’t think religion keeps is what modern people from learning physics
Should this be “I don’t think religion is what keeps modern people from learning physics” or am I missing something?
Can you tag this/the series as finished somehow? I like to read stories when they are concluded and didn’t realize I could read this yet!
Hello all,
I am not new, but I read much more than I comment. I have not written any articles yet.
I’ve known LessWrong for maybe 10 years, but it didn’t captivate me then. When I started reading SSC again at the beginning of the pandemic, I also came back to LessWrong and got captivated this time. I have subscribed to some authors and try to stay up to date on the curated list. I don’t have the time/concentration to read everything I want, unfortunately. “The Engines of Cognition” is still lying around here wrapped up.About me: I’m a Berlin freelance developer in my early 30s. I enjoy reading, educational and entertaining videos, board and PC games (cooperative, singleplayer and occasional competitive multiplayer).
Some stuff on LessWrong that I have enjoyed. Feel free to ask me for more links (on and off LessWrong):
* All of A Map that Reflects the Territory
* Bayeswatch by lsusr
* Theses on Sleep by guzey
* Cryonics signup guide by mingyuan
* Can you control the past by Joe Carlsmith€: I’m also looking for a project from July onwards. Feel free to message me if you are looking for a developer.
There are some occurrences in the git of Ditritus as well and more importantly in the google Form.
Interesting article.
An oddity I noticed is that the statistics ranks “Sexual Assault” equal to “Aunt Death”. That seems wrong to me and might be due to the (hopefully) low sample size.
The original article doesn’t mention the oddity either.
But that got me thinking of where “Sexual Assault” would / should rank in “Painful Experiences”. Does anyone have insight into that or can direct me to a post?
I like this post, but I don’t know how to feel about faking sponsored posts. That could trick people into reading actual sponsored posts.
Useful to keep in mind, especially the point of getting an introduction to the next person.
But I want to point out that it’s also easy to undershoot. Many people hesitate to ask questions or contact new people. It makes me sad when people waste hours on something that I can answer / fix in minutes.
Another thing is to keep time spent / saved in mind. A well crafted message, that’s easy to understand and only requires a short answer, is much harder to write than going back and forth a few times.
If you spend 100x the time you save the other person, it’s probably not worth it in most non-Paul-Christiano-cases.