Michael Wiebe

• Michael WiebeMar 4, 2015, 3:45 AM

  18 points

  on: Harry Pot­ter and the Meth­ods of Ra­tion­al­ity dis­cus­sion thread, March 2015, chap­ter 114 + chap­ter 115

  Why are Hermione’s robes red? Does Voldie want her to be Gryffindor?

• Michael WiebeFeb 28, 2015, 9:48 PM

  1 point

  in reply to: noahpocalypse’s comment on: Harry Pot­ter and the Meth­ods of Ra­tion­al­ity dis­cus­sion thread, Fe­bru­ary 2015, chap­ter 113

  What about Harry changing Voldie’s understanding of death?

• Michael WiebeFeb 28, 2015, 9:37 PM

  14 points

  on: Harry Pot­ter and the Meth­ods of Ra­tion­al­ity dis­cus­sion thread, Fe­bru­ary 2015, chap­ter 113

  Important: QQ’s earlier parseltongue-spoken plans for Harry to become ruler of the world were said before he heard the ‘tear apart the stars’ prophecy. So it appears V changed his mind after hearing the prophecy.

• Michael WiebeFeb 28, 2015, 9:31 PM

  3 points

  in reply to: skeptical_lurker’s comment on: Harry Pot­ter and the Meth­ods of Ra­tion­al­ity dis­cus­sion thread, Fe­bru­ary 2015, chap­ter 113

  Ten hours after the deadline.

• Michael WiebeFeb 28, 2015, 9:29 PM

  1 point

  on: Harry Pot­ter and the Meth­ods of Ra­tion­al­ity dis­cus­sion thread, Fe­bru­ary 2015, chap­ter 113

  If knowledge of the True Patronus can prevent people from being able to cast Patronus 1.0, is there a way for knowledge of the True Patronus to harm Voldemort?

• Michael WiebeFeb 25, 2015, 2:40 AM

  0 points

  in reply to: linkhyrule5’s comment on: Harry Pot­ter and the Meth­ods of Ra­tion­al­ity dis­cus­sion thread, Fe­bru­ary 2015, chap­ter 110

  Does Quirrell have the Resurrection Stone? If so, that’s ³⁄₃ Deathly Hallows (invisibility cloak and elder wand).

• Michael WiebeFeb 24, 2015, 5:02 AM

  0 points

  in reply to: Astazha’s comment on: Harry Pot­ter and the Meth­ods of Ra­tion­al­ity dis­cus­sion thread, Fe­bru­ary 2015, chap­ter 109

  When Harry first entered the room wearing his cloak, he looked into the mirror and saw only the reflection. Now he is again looking into the mirror while cloaked.

• Michael WiebeFeb 24, 2015, 4:56 AM

  3 points

  in reply to: Izeinwinter’s comment on: Harry Pot­ter and the Meth­ods of Ra­tion­al­ity dis­cus­sion thread, Fe­bru­ary 2015, chap­ter 109

  Dumbledore is in the mirror. Quirrell, from 104:

  I saw the Headmaster missing… but for all my magic can tell me… he could be in another… realm of existence

• Michael WiebeFeb 18, 2015, 4:09 AM

  14 points

  in reply to: SilentCal’s comment on: Harry Pot­ter and the Meth­ods of Ra­tion­al­ity dis­cus­sion thread, Fe­bru­ary 2015, chap­ters 105-107

  Snape kills Dumbledore?

• Michael WiebeFeb 16, 2015, 6:04 AM

  18 points

  on: Harry Pot­ter and the Meth­ods of Ra­tion­al­ity dis­cus­sion thread, Fe­bru­ary 2015, chap­ter 104

  But unless you bought Draco Malfoy’s latest theory that Professor Sprout had been assigning and grading less homework around the time of Hermione being framed for attempted murder, thereby proving that Professor Sprout had been spending her time setting it up, the truth remained unfound.

  So Imperiused-Sprout is Hat and Cloak?

• Michael WiebeFeb 16, 2015, 3:37 AM

  0 points

  in reply to: Michelle_Z’s comment on: Harry Pot­ter and the Meth­ods of Ra­tion­al­ity dis­cus­sion thread, Fe­bru­ary 2015, chap­ter 104

  He went with Lesath, not Cedric.

• Michael WiebeSep 7, 2013, 10:21 PM

  2 points

  on: Con­fi­dence In Opinions, In­ten­sity In Opinion

  See also Gwern’s belief tags.

• Michael WiebeJul 18, 2013, 5:20 AM

  15 points

  in reply to: Michelle_Z’s comment on: Harry Pot­ter and the Meth­ods of Ra­tion­al­ity dis­cus­sion thread, part 24, chap­ter 95

  We are nearing the end of the school year, after all.

  Edit for clarity: referring to the curse on the Defense Against the Dark Arts teaching position.

• Michael WiebeJul 9, 2013, 9:45 PM

  2 points

  on: Four Fo­cus Areas of Effec­tive Altruism

  In the future, poverty reduction EAs might also focus on economic, political, or research-infrastructure changes that might achieve poverty reduction, global health, and educational improvements more indirectly, as when Chinese economic reforms lifted hundreds of millions out of poverty.

  I’d like to see more discussion of economic growth and effective altruism. Something that can lift hundreds of millions of people out of poverty is something that should definitely be investigated. (See also Lant Pritchett’s distinction between linear and transformative philanthropy.)

• Michael WiebeJul 8, 2013, 7:26 PM

  9 points

  in reply to: [deleted]’s comment on: Harry Pot­ter and the Meth­ods of Ra­tion­al­ity dis­cus­sion thread, part 23, chap­ter 94

  Regarding Harry’s lack of surprise, isn’t it odd that he puts no effort into wearing the expression of someone who has no idea about Hermione’s body being missing?

• Michael WiebeJul 4, 2013, 5:27 AM

  1 point

  on: Harry Pot­ter and the Meth­ods of Ra­tion­al­ity dis­cus­sion thread, part 20, chap­ter 90

  What’s “Harry James Potter-Evans-Verres” an anagram for?

• Michael WiebeJul 2, 2013, 4:16 PM

  11 points

  on: Harry Pot­ter and the Meth­ods of Ra­tion­al­ity dis­cus­sion thread, part 20, chap­ter 90

  Is there a page that lists all of the unresolved hints/​clues in MoR? For example, Remembrall-like-a-sun, Bacon’s diary, etc.

• Michael WiebeJul 2, 2013, 2:53 AM

  9 points

  on: Harry Pot­ter and the Meth­ods of Ra­tion­al­ity dis­cus­sion thread, part 20, chap­ter 90

  He had vanished from where he was standing over the Weasley twins and come into existence beside Harry; George Weasley had discontinously teleported from where he was sitting to be kneeling next to his brother’s side

  What’s going on here? Is it just that Harry isn’t paying attention to what’s happening around him?

• Michael WiebeJun 30, 2013, 7:07 PM

  31 points

  on: Harry Pot­ter and the Meth­ods of Ra­tion­al­ity dis­cus­sion thread, part 19, chap­ter 88-89

  This is interesting. From the end of Ch. 89:

  Unseen by anyone, the Defense Professor’s lips curved up in a thin smile. Despite its little ups and downs, on the whole this had been a surprisingly good day

  From Ch. 46, after Harry destroys the dementor:

  I must admit, Mr. Potter, that although it has had its ups and downs, on the whole, this has been a surprisingly good day.

• Michael WiebeMay 13, 2013, 10:13 PM

  0 points

  in reply to: 9eB1’s comment on: How to cal­ibrate your poli­ti­cal beliefs

  I agree with all of this.