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Metaculus

Karma: 32

Sums and products

Mar 27, 2022, 9:57 PM
23 points
11 comments12 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Phase tran­si­tions and AGI

Mar 17, 2022, 5:22 PM
45 points
19 comments9 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Me­tac­u­lus launches con­test for es­says with quan­ti­ta­tive pre­dic­tions about AI

Feb 8, 2022, 4:07 PM
25 points
2 comments1 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Com­putabil­ity and Complexity

Feb 5, 2022, 2:53 PM
21 points
5 comments11 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Equity pre­mium puzzles

Nov 16, 2021, 8:50 PM
20 points
4 comments12 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)

Fore­cast­ing progress in lan­guage models

Oct 28, 2021, 8:40 PM
62 points
6 comments12 min readLW link
(www.metaculus.com)