Hi. Long time reader, first time poster (under a new name). I posted once before, than quit because I am not good at math and this website doesn’t offer many examples of worked out problems of Bayes theorem.
I have looked for a book or website that gives algebraic examples of basic Bayesian updates. While there are many books that cover Bayes, all require calculus, which I have not taken.
In a new article by Kaj_Sotala, fallacies are interpreted in the light of Bayes theorem. I would like to participate in debates and discussion where I can identify common fallacies and try to calculate them using Bayesian methods, which may not require calculus but simple algebra and basic logic of probability.
However, if someone could simply create an article with a few worked examples of Bayesian updating, that would still be very helpful. I have read the explanations but I am just not very good at math. I have passed (A’s and B’s) in college trig, algebra, and precal, but I flunked out of calculus. Maybe in the future when I am more financially secure I could spend the time to really understand more complicated Bayesian updates.
Right now, I feel like there is a real need to simply have some basic worked out examples. Not long explanations, just problems with the math worked out. Preferably non calculus based problems.
That is a good article. I am looking for dozens of examples, all worked out in subtly different ways, just like a mini-textbook. OR a chapter in a regular text book. I’ll probably have to just do it myself.