Kevin Dorst

Karma: 434

Only Fools Avoid Hindsight Bias

Kevin Dorst20 Jul 2024 13:42 UTC

−11 points

5 comments6 min readLW link

(kevindorst.substack.com)

The Natural Selection of Bad Vibes (Part 1)

Kevin Dorst12 May 2024 8:28 UTC

13 points

3 comments7 min readLW link

(kevindorst.substack.com)

Centrists are (probably) less biased

Kevin Dorst7 Apr 2024 6:40 UTC

1 point

2 comments5 min readLW link

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Ideological Bayesians

Kevin Dorst25 Feb 2024 14:17 UTC

95 points

4 comments10 min readLW link

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Bayesians Commit the Gambler’s Fallacy

Kevin Dorst7 Jan 2024 12:54 UTC

46 points

28 comments8 min readLW link

(kevindorst.substack.com)

In Defense of Epistemic Empathy

Kevin Dorst27 Dec 2023 16:27 UTC

60 points

19 comments6 min readLW link

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Bayesian Injustice

Kevin Dorst14 Dec 2023 15:44 UTC

124 points

10 comments6 min readLW link

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Polarization is Not (Standard) Bayesian

Kevin Dorst16 Sep 2023 16:31 UTC

11 points

6 comments7 min readLW link

(kevindorst.substack.com)

ChatGPT challenges the case for human irrationality

Kevin Dorst22 Aug 2023 12:46 UTC

3 points

10 comments7 min readLW link

(kevindorst.substack.com)

Rationalization Maximizes Expected Value

Kevin Dorst30 Jul 2023 20:11 UTC

19 points

10 comments7 min readLW link

(kevindorst.substack.com)

Is the Endowment Effect Due to Incomparability?

Kevin Dorst10 Jul 2023 16:26 UTC

21 points

10 comments7 min readLW link

(kevindorst.substack.com)

A Subtle Selection Effect in Overconfidence Studies

Kevin Dorst3 Jul 2023 14:43 UTC

24 points

0 comments6 min readLW link

(kevindorst.substack.com)

The Case for Overconfidence is Overstated

Kevin Dorst28 Jun 2023 17:21 UTC

50 points

13 comments8 min readLW link

(kevindorst.substack.com)