it seems much more important than tech 734⁄5000 necessary… carbon nanotubes are one of the core scientific discoveries of our generation and this shows a really interesting property of them directly related to electronics development. The heat dissapation bottleneck has been the most serious issue with nanotech and much, much faster and smaller processors. When we went from faster chips to multiple cores, things became really different—parallel algorithms are inherently more difficult and tech that could reinstate an exponentiation phase is extremely significant. This is more important than that though, if substantiated it is a truly weird physics advance and there’s no telling what applications it will find. The first AI or human decision support system that will offer dangerous self improvement capabilties is most likely going to be on some $10M-$100M system and the question is how do you see that coming? I mentioned moore’s law as the first of many obvious and important areas this advance will impact if there is not some serious engineering bottleneck in putting it into practice, be that in moving up orders of magnitude in clock speed or providing wiring for brain implants that is small enough not to damage neural tissue and so forth. I’m seriously surprised to see a response to this advance that is not at least curious interest at an obviously related physics advance.
keefe
How does remote Joule heating of carbon nanotubes advance singularity timelines?
I was a civ junkie for a long time… one interesting thing is that the manual had structured data representations of everything in the game. It was also deadly exploitable, you would usually just not use certain strategies because they’re boring.
even the most extraordinary eat, shit, sleep, fuck, become addicted and I also feel that merging needs is the key to cooperation
Understanding what some call the terror of the situation will change a lot. People should volunteer at shelters or prisons or with something like big brothers/big sisters and see the pain that stupidity, weakness, irrationality, love of ignorance and all the rest cause. The real terror of the traits commonly possessed by the people and economic entities that shape our society. Think hard about daily life in rural china, north korea, iran, the ghettos and the trailer parks and think about the evolutionary pressure that puts on the 150+ IQs that happen to be born there and what the consequences of a little bit of love and reason can be. Thinking about this forces one to admit to selfishness and yield to temptation or intentional suffering to purify this, or admit that one is choosing love of misery over ripples of rationality that can add to a critical mass for breaking cycles of ignorance, corruption and abuse.
I think that you are you are on a solid research path here. I think you have reached the bounds of business oriented software and it’s time to look into something like apache mahout or RDF. Decision tree implementations are available all over, just find a data structure and share them and run inference engines like owlim or pellet and see what you can see.
RDF is a good interim solution because you can start encoding things as structured data. I have some JSON->RDF stuff for inference if you get to that point.
Here is one way to represent these graphs as RDF.
Each edge becomes an edge to a blank node, that blank node has the label, arrival probability and could link to evidence supporting. Representing weighted graphs in RDF is fairly well studied.
The question is, what is your net goal of this from a computational artifact point of view?
reductionism = (reduce until you have good reason not to);
I think this is a good construction for pragmatic reductionism. It feels like there is some connection to ockham’s razor, using an excessively complex model ends up binding up computational resources that you are likely to need for some time sensitive problem. I think this is what is going on in your description of the thought chain you get bound up in. It’s fine for fun to think about how relatively or quantum mechanics relate to some problem that is easily solved (or approximated quite accurately) with newtownian mechanics, but if you have some actual reason to solve that problem, it’s best to take the easy answer and move on.
It’s going to happen over and over again throughout your life, particularly if you start doing things like training neural networks or svms or whatever you are playing with. If you set aside a weekend and visit your local linux users group, they will get you all sorted out for free. The additional advantage of this is that once you are in a known clean infrastructure, it’s likely that you will feel more free to write and research.
It’s worth noting media is consumed in different modes. I am constantly watching BSG or buffy or stargate as I’m coding because there are these alternating phases of concentration and boring repetition so it’s nice to have something I can glance at and appreciate something from. This is very different from watching for entertainment like game of thrones or justified.
great show, having never read the books I think the storyline seems well thought out enough to learn from
the bullet points...
neuroscience research, particularly related to neuroeconomics
rewriting codebase from 10 projects by breaking down into about 30 smaller more easily tested components
reviewing and automating infrastructure selections (java,eclipse,jquery,couchdb,postgres,bash,ubuntu lts, maven, git, custom code for lots of stuff, apache for various little things notably hadoop and mahout) deciding on feature subsets for internal use, trusted group use, and launch trajectory in 2012
some work on money and such annoying tasks
adjusting to being engaged to my cofounder and out of cali permanently
increasing online presence
...this is all changes that benefit many different wordlines, need to select how to go public on various things
I would start with something like reuters API, http://wordnet.princeton.edu/ and some research on these guys http://pdos.csail.mit.edu/scigen/ this is a fairly well studied problem by spammers, so I’d also work there
what about your infrastructure required downtime due to laptop failure? a VPS or dropbox or gmail file system etc can meet security and uptime requirements one suggestion is that you could install ubuntu to boot off of a memory stick, store your files in a truecrypt volume and autobackup that encrypted file to various places
It seems like language and thinking are closely connected, particularly w.r.t. the categories we tend to reason with. http://www.ruf.rice.edu/~lngbrain/main.htm is a good resource
I’m pretty familiar with the codebase though I transitioned to ebay before getting too much done on it, send me an email if you want some feedback, I have more free time these days looking to contribute to open source for long term strategic reasons
Directly answering the question, organ replacement including some brain augmentation that shifts into uploading eventually seems most likely. Cryonics isn’t really a direct answer to the question, if you want to talk about trajectories to achieve immortality.… It’s too hard to predict where a breakthrough will be made or a wall will be hit. I think the most feasible trajectory is focusing on money and power, then organ replacement and traditional life extension techniques, which include general existential risk reduction.
Overall the concept of embodied cognition makes a lot of sense. Yoga and particularly martial arts give a lot of tools for embodied cognition. Particularly martial arts—these are all telegraphed gestures, in an adversarial mode it’s not useful to advertise weaknesses. Changing weight balance and the subtle foot motions involved in shifting into a martial arts stance is less obvious and communicates strength to anyone able to notice.
It’s probably worthwhile asking people to put the logo with an alt text of sponsored by leading to lesswrong or siai. people that stumble onto such an article that don’t know about lw or siai are likely to be interest, should also help pagerank.
quick scan didn’t see anything regarding accuracy of visual or kinesthetic imagination, probably one of the most important skills for solving problems and also related to # of possibility chains one can fit in the head at one time
“Taking the outside view means using an estimate based on a class of roughly similar previous cases”
so the singularity by far is something after which we cannot predict how things are, but we’re going to look at roughly similar cases for that?
I’m also an insider in this in the sense that I’ve been a professional software engineer for 16 years, dropped out of a phd program after passing qualification exam with a masters in compsci and eng, so yes, I am trying to imagine possible outcomes and look at trajectories and I hope other people with training on this board are doing the same.