Lurker since 2008. Second-generation diasporan. Rationalist out of the woodwork.
junk heap homotopy
Karma: 219
Hi there. I signed up for the event but didn’t receive any URL. Can someone help me out?
What do you think are the odds of a successful vaccine being developed within 3 months? 6 months? A year? Before we achieve herd immunity?
How long do you think will the peak last? How does your position (and best-policy recommendations) change as this variable changes?
Definitely in 5-10 years. Hopefully with accommodations for foreignfolk as well?
Not sure if this is the proper place to say this but your first link is broken.
http://www.yudkowsky.net/virtues/ → http://www.yudkowsky.net/rational/virtues/
Now I’m curious. Does studying history make you update in a similar way? I feel that these times are not especially insane compared to the rest of history, though the scale of the problems might be bigger.