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jsteinhardt

Karma: 5,657

In­tro­duc­ing Transluce — A Let­ter from the Founders

jsteinhardt23 Oct 2024 18:10 UTC
74 points
2 comments3 min readLW link
(bounded-regret.ghost.io)

Aug­ment­ing Statis­ti­cal Models with Nat­u­ral Lan­guage Parameters

jsteinhardt20 Sep 2024 18:30 UTC
34 points
0 comments8 min readLW link
(bounded-regret.ghost.io)

Ap­proach­ing Hu­man-Level Fore­cast­ing with Lan­guage Models

Fred Zhang, dannyhalawi and jsteinhardt
29 Feb 2024 22:36 UTC
60 points
6 comments3 min readLW link

An­a­lyz­ing the His­tor­i­cal Rate of Catastrophes

jsteinhardt5 Dec 2023 6:30 UTC
15 points
0 comments16 min readLW link
(bounded-regret.ghost.io)

Fore­cast­ing AI (Overview)

jsteinhardt16 Nov 2023 19:00 UTC
35 points
0 comments2 min readLW link
(bounded-regret.ghost.io)

GPT-2030 and Catas­trophic Drives: Four Vignettes

jsteinhardt10 Nov 2023 7:30 UTC
50 points
5 comments10 min readLW link
(bounded-regret.ghost.io)

In­trin­sic Drives and Ex­trin­sic Mi­suse: Two In­ter­twined Risks of AI

jsteinhardt31 Oct 2023 5:10 UTC
40 points
0 comments12 min readLW link
(bounded-regret.ghost.io)

AI Pause Will Likely Back­fire (Guest Post)

jsteinhardt24 Oct 2023 4:30 UTC
47 points
6 comments15 min readLW link
(bounded-regret.ghost.io)

AI Fore­cast­ing: Two Years In

jsteinhardt19 Aug 2023 23:40 UTC
72 points
15 comments11 min readLW link
(bounded-regret.ghost.io)

What will GPT-2030 look like?

jsteinhardt7 Jun 2023 23:40 UTC
185 points
43 comments23 min readLW link
(bounded-regret.ghost.io)

Com­plex Sys­tems are Hard to Control

jsteinhardt4 Apr 2023 0:00 UTC
42 points
5 comments10 min readLW link
(bounded-regret.ghost.io)

Prin­ci­ples for Pro­duc­tive Group Meetings

jsteinhardt22 Mar 2023 0:50 UTC
60 points
1 comment13 min readLW link
(bounded-regret.ghost.io)

Emer­gent De­cep­tion and Emer­gent Optimization

jsteinhardt20 Feb 2023 2:40 UTC
64 points
0 comments14 min readLW link
(bounded-regret.ghost.io)

Some Les­sons Learned from Study­ing Indi­rect Ob­ject Iden­ti­fi­ca­tion in GPT-2 small

KevinRoWang, Alexandre Variengien, Arthur Conmy, Buck and jsteinhardt
28 Oct 2022 23:55 UTC
101 points
9 comments9 min readLW link2 reviews
(arxiv.org)

Fore­cast­ing ML Bench­marks in 2023

jsteinhardt18 Jul 2022 2:50 UTC
36 points
20 comments12 min readLW link
(bounded-regret.ghost.io)

AI Fore­cast­ing: One Year In

jsteinhardt4 Jul 2022 5:10 UTC
132 points
12 comments6 min readLW link
(bounded-regret.ghost.io)

How fast can we perform a for­ward pass?

jsteinhardt10 Jun 2022 23:30 UTC
53 points
9 comments15 min readLW link
(bounded-regret.ghost.io)

Early 2022 Paper Round-up (Part 2)

jsteinhardt21 Apr 2022 23:40 UTC
10 points
0 comments5 min readLW link
(bounded-regret.ghost.io)

Early 2022 Paper Round-up

jsteinhardt14 Apr 2022 20:50 UTC
80 points
4 comments3 min readLW link
(bounded-regret.ghost.io)

Ap­pendix: More Is Differ­ent In Other Domains

jsteinhardt8 Feb 2022 16:00 UTC
12 points
1 comment4 min readLW link
(bounded-regret.ghost.io)