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Jotto999

Karma: 727

Be­ware boast­ing about non-ex­is­tent fore­cast­ing track records

Jotto99920 May 2022 19:20 UTC
331 points
112 comments5 min readLW link1 review

As­sign­ing prob­a­bil­ities to meta­phys­i­cal ideas

Jotto9998 Sep 2021 0:15 UTC
14 points
24 comments1 min readLW link

A quick and crude com­par­i­son of epi­demiolog­i­cal ex­pert fore­casts ver­sus Me­tac­u­lus fore­casts for COVID-19

Jotto9991 Apr 2020 13:59 UTC
46 points
3 comments1 min readLW link