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Jotto999

Karma: 746

Be­ware boast­ing about non-ex­is­tent fore­cast­ing track records

Jotto999May 20, 2022, 7:20 PM
338 points
112 comments5 min readLW link1 review

As­sign­ing prob­a­bil­ities to meta­phys­i­cal ideas

Jotto999Sep 8, 2021, 12:15 AM
14 points
24 comments1 min readLW link

A quick and crude com­par­i­son of epi­demiolog­i­cal ex­pert fore­casts ver­sus Me­tac­u­lus fore­casts for COVID-19

Jotto999Apr 1, 2020, 1:59 PM
46 points
3 comments1 min readLW link